Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of August 26

Here are the results of this week’s FAB bidding. Remember, if you want to check out the standings, rosters and full transactions for particular league, just click in the section heading.

American League

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
JRogers, Det Andy Andres 31
LRivas, Sea Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 21
JLeiter, Tex Jeff Erickson 17
JQuijada, LAA Doug Dennis 11
BHurter, Det Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 11
NKavadas, LAA Eric Samulski 4
MSpence, Oak Jason Collette 3
DMartin, CWS Eric Samulski 2
KAkin, Bal Mike Podhorzer 1
CSnider, Sea Mike Podhorzer 1
JBoyle, Oak Andy Andres 0
ESwanson, Tor Patrick Davitt 0

National League

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
CDoval, SF Steve Gardner 95
GUrshela, Atl Steve Gardner 72
DomSmith, Cin Erik Halterman 9
LOrtiz, Pit Peter Kreutzer 8
LBaker, StL Peter Kreutzer 7
VBrujan, Mia Ian Kahn 6
NFortes, Mia Rick Graham 4
MMcCoy, SD Rick Graham 1
BWoodruff, Mil Phil Hertz 1

Mixed Auction

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
PHodge, ChC Scott Engel 67
DCrews, Was Jeff Zimmerman 58
GPerdomo, Ari Tristan Cockcroft 27
ABarger, Tor Frank Stampfl 24
TKinley, Col Scott Engel 20
EPhillips, LAD Bret Sayre 16
RLaureano, Atl Scott Chu 15
JMeyers, Hou Scott Swanay 15
JAguiar, Cin Todd Zola 13
JSchreiber, KC Todd Zola 13
DHernaiz, Oak Brent Hershey 11
JJung, Det Dave Adler 7
RUrias, Bal Scott Swanay 7
JTena, Was Jeff Zimmerman 6
JLeiter, Tex Jeff Zimmerman 6
JRogers, Det Scott Chu 5
KLee, CWS Andy Behrens 5
TAlexander, TB Scott Swanay 5
GCanning, LAA Scott Swanay 5
IHerrera, StL Brent Hershey 3
CCriswell, Bos Justin Mason 3
CFulmer, LAA Justin Mason 3
YaRodriguez, Tor Tristan Cockcroft 2
DomSmith, Cin Kev Mahserejian 1
DRomo, Col Bret Sayre 0

Mixed Draft

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
GWilliams, Cle Garion Thorne 225
DCrews, Was Ryan Bloomfield 183
JLoperfido, Tor Adam Ronis 88
CNorby, Mia Garion Thorne 80
RLaureano, Atl Adam Ronis 68
JrgLopez, ChC Scott White 67
JLeiter, Tex Seth Trachtman 65
VRobles, Sea Tim McLeod 21
DomSmith, Cin Ryan Bloomfield 18
PHodge, ChC Mike Gianella 11
OLopez, Mia Tim McLeod 8
PPages, StL Brian Entrekin 6
AChivilli, Col Tim McLeod 5
JCueto, LAA Shelly Verougstraete 4
DHill, Mia Mike Gianella 4
AlSuarez, Bal Scott White 3
LHendriks, Bos Dr. Roto 2
IHerrera, StL Adam Ronis 2
CCriswell, Bos Dr. Roto 1
JStallings, Col Mike Gianella 0

Head to Head

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
BFrancis, Tor Lauren Auerbach 42
KCrawford, Bos Ariel Cohen 34
FMontas, Mil Ariel Cohen 34
TStephenson, Cin Sky Dombroske 29
OBido, Oak Sky Dombroske 14
TMadded, Det Michael Govier 11
CNorby, Mia Sky Dombroske 11
DPeralta, SD Lauren Auerbach 9
DCrews, Was Sky Dombroske 8
BMiller, LAD Ryan Hallam 7
FFermin, KC Joe Gallina 6
CBradford, Tex Joe Gallina 5
CPovich, Bal Frank Ammirante 4
CCriswell, Bos Frank Ammirante 2

Mixed Draft with Alternate Categories

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
DCrews, Was Sara Sanchez 172
PHodge, ChC John Laghezza 45
GWilliams, Cle Ray Flowers 27
JAguiar, Cin Derek VanRiper 22
JBoyle, Oak Joe Orrico 16
JMartinez, Ari Sara Sanchez 12
EUceta, TB Ray Flowers 11
BLively, Cle Geoff Pontes 11
SWhitcomb, Hou Chris Towers 7
JrgLopez, ChC Sara Sanchez 7
KHigashioka, SD John Laghezza 3
JBeck, Col Ryan Boyer 3
MMikolas, StL Jeff Boggis 2
JStallings, Col Chris Towers 2
JTena, Was Chris Towers 2
BBlalock, Col Geoff Pontes 2
LWade, SF Carlos Marcano 1
JWilson, Oak Ryan Boyer 1

Tout Table: Category Math

This week’s question: What is one of your favorite pieces of advice when asked how to go about category management in roto leagues down the stretch?

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): DO NOT ignore ratios (BAvg, OBP, ERA, WHIP). There is actually more movement in ratios than counting categories.

Larry Schechter (Winning Fantasy Baseball, @LarrySchechter): This should be obvious, but you only have six weeks so you can’t make up large deficits. Concentrate on what you can realistically achieve, and if you have a surplus in a category see if a trade makes sense; i.e. your big SB guy isn’t needed anymore if you are 18 steals ahead of the next guy.

Ryan Hallam (Fighting Chance Fantasy, @FightingChance): Obviously you have to look at the categories that you really can make up ground (if needed), but also don’t forget to look who is close behind you in categories as well. Holding on to the points that you have is just as important as trying to pick up points in other categories

Paul Sporer (Fangraphs, @sporer): You already put it, Todd, but I always quote you when I say it anyway, so let me underscore the ratios point. They MOVE a lotttt throughout the year. Never give up on them if you’re truly trying to make a run up the standings. This is anecdotal, but in a month span, I went from 15th to 4th in AVG in my Main Event (thank you very, Xavier Edwards among others!). The denominator’s constant growth obviously makes it tougher as we move forward, but far from impossible and too often I’ve seen folks give up on achievable ratios only to fall short of their title or cash spot because of it.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): OK, here’s another one. We’re around 75% of the way through. You’re not six counting stats behind the next guy, you’re eight. Granted, rosters have changed and the growth won’t be linear, but to make up six counting stats, you need six over above your current pace plus two (assuming the current pace continues). The main point is keep in mind your competitors are also doing the category math and may play some defense on your attempt to make up ground.

Rick Wolf (SiriusXM Fantasy, @RickWolf1): This is a super complicated topic. Here is what Colton & The Wolfman have been doing for years. It starts with monitoring all year and making adjustments real-time in a number of directions. With Tout Wars’ amazing flexibility, you have the opportunity to add two extra pitchers if you want in the SW positions, you cannot ignore that. Take each category and determine what is necessary in order to get into the top 3 positions. If all categories finish in the Top 3, you win. Look at each amount needed for the AVG/OBP, WHIP and ERA first. You can determine movement based on the number of IPs potentially left or the number of ABs. Now, you can use addition by subtraction. If we are ahead in HRs, you can DROP a HR guy who has a bad average or OBP. You are ALLOWED to do that to win. You can drop a good pitcher who hurts you ERA/WHIP. Now, most of this should be done with trades before the deadline, but that said, closing from here is harder if trades didn’t make sense. Maximizing at bats will help with runs and RBI. Maximizing starts can help with wins and strikeouts so if the number of innings of BAD ratios won’t make you drop from Top 3, GO FOR IT! CTW has employed 9 or 10 starters for the last 3 weeks to make up ground in those categories as bad innings wouldn’t move us more than a point or two in the ratio categories. Last thing, critical. Steals can be grabbed as teams expand rosters. Use that last SW or hitting spot to cycle speed through. Three to five stolen bases can be multiple points in September.

Scott Chu (Pitcher List, @ifthechufits): There is no such thing as “best player available” in category leagues at this point. There is only “what does this guy give me and at what cost”. Asking if you should drop Lawrence Butler with Michael Harris II’s return is suddenly an awkward question, as these guys do VERY different things. Overall rankings of hitters matter less and less every day starting in March, and at this point in the season, your personal rankings should be entirely tailored to your needs and, to a lesser extent, the needs of your opponents. The ultimate question at this stage is simply “does this guy provide what I need, and if so, is it worth the cost I’ll have to pay (in either FAAB or losses in other categories).”

Mike Gianella (Baseball Prospectus, @): Pay attention to the bottom of the standings. There will be teams in nearly every league who are dead in the water and only making moves for next year in keeper leagues or have completely or somewhat checked out in redraft. These teams will be behind you in most Roto categories (there’s a reason they’re at the bottom), but sometimes there are teams dominating in 1-3 categories that stink everywhere else. These teams typically sink like a stone in those categories, and a point or two you thought was out of reach might not be out of reach at all. These opportunities aren’t plentiful or easy, but if you’re in a tight race picking up 2-3 points like this can make all the difference.

Fred Zinkie (Yahoo/Rotowire, @FredZinkieMLB): Here’s something I learned over the years… don’t get too comfortable in any category at this point in the season. Sure, we want to focus on the categories that are tightly bunched. But a seemingly safe cushion can evaporate quickly. Especially in the ratio categories. For example, let’s say that you have a 10-steal buffer. You’re feeling safe. Not targeting speedsters anymore. All of a sudden, your team inexplicably steals 1 or 2 bases for a week or two, and the gap is gone. All of a sudden, you’re in a tight race. Hopefully you didn’t cut all of your speedsters, because now you need them. The standings can still move quickly at this time of the season. I’ll change my tune in about three weeks, but for now, I’m still playing straight up in most circumstances.

Chris Blessing (BaseballHQ, @C_Blessing): I just had a talk with a BHQ subscriber about throwing out biases towards players you’d never roster. If a dude fills the need you are deficient in, it’s time to give him a look. I also echo the sentiments of Todd Zola. Paying attention to ratios this deep into the season is worth much more than paying attention to the counting stats. Weird things happen when the ratios are bunched up this late. A positive swing in your direction could yield 3 or 4 points in most formats.

Brian Walton (CreativeSports2, @B_Walton): Look for win-win deals where you can help yourself in a category, while helping a trade partner pass the team you are trying to catch in another category.

Derek VanRiper (The Athletic, @DerekVanRiper): Look at the categories in which the teams you’re competing with are most vulnerable in losing ground. If your trade deadline hasn’t passed yet, you might be able to trade with a third party to help them pass your competitor, chipping away at their overall points total and helping yourself in the process.

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): If you have surplus in a category, trade it without worrying that you are getting a good deal. The less than perfect deal is more important at this stage than keeping a surplus.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis): When managing categories, look to where you can have your opponents surpass a category that will help you against those opponents that are ahead of you in the league standings. Typically, this is the time of year where teams in the bottom half of their standings start to focus on fantasy football. You almost have to roster manage their teams to prod them to make roster moves to where it’s to your advantage, while at the same time, staying ethical. I may not be able to move up in the standings by myself and it’s OK to have other league managers assist with having them insert a base stealer on their bench if it will help them pass teams ahead of you in that category. You can return the favor next season if the roles are reversed.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): Do both a short-term (next week) and longer-term (rest-of-season at this point) analysis but err on the side of prioritizing short-term gains if choices become necessary.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): I’m going to disagree with Jeff B. It’s fine for the commissioner to remind the league to be active all season, but I don’t feel it’s proper for one team manager to prod another to make moves in a self-serving interest. Collusion is a dangerous accusation, and I’m not quite sure this fits the definition. but it certainly feels underhanded and against the spirit of competition.

Frank Ammirante (The GameDayHQ, @FAmmiranteTFJ): If you’re behind in Wins and Strikeouts, you can punt saves by benching your closers for starters. This is best in weekly leagues.

Michael Govier (Pallazzo Podcast, @mjgovier): What’s a number that’s feasible to attain with a set range of time? Also, ratio stats are harder to climb the ranks in than certain counting stats are. In my Main Event for example, our WHIP is too far gone to be able to reach any meaningful change. Even if we went down from 1.23 to 1.20 in the next month, we’d only net 2 positions higher. Compare that to pitching K’s where a 35-55 K gap can net us up to 5 points in the standings in that category. That means fire up more guys like Brayan Bello who can miss bats, but who also may cause trouble for our WHIP which can’t get much worse in a hurry. This scenario means it’s worth it to try to gain ground in K’s. With the WHIP in our Main, it’s too little too late to make it worth it. The numerical value of 2-3 spots gained in a category by season’s end doesn’t impact our bottom line compared to the K’s where it seems it’s worth the trouble because 5 points gained is something to sing about! Batting AVG, ERA & WHIP have a swollen sample size by mid-August. Too many 7ER outings by Logan Allen & company this year make the damage tough to overcome. A guy like Xavier Edwards though with his 20 SBs since July creates a bigger uptick in the SB category which makes season-long change over the last two months of the season viable.

Ray Murphy (BaseballHQ, @RayHQ): In terms of league standings, try to project whether you can gain enough points to cut whatever your deficit is in half… if you can do that, you can consider that “close enough” in that you can at least hope that the team you’re chasing will lose enough points to account for the other half of the deficit. Obviously better if you have enough upside to completely chase them down yourself, but even if you can’t find enough “potential attainable points” to close the entire deficit yourself, it doesn’t mean that you can’t get there… with some help.

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): It’s so much easier to gain in counting stat categories at this point, plus ratios are volatile to begin with so they will be quite unpredictable over the final month+, particularly batting average. Also — punting your worst starting pitcher is just as good as trading for a starter you hope improves your ratios.

Eric Samulski (Rotoballer, @SamskiNYC): I always tell people to make a physical list for each of your leagues. It’s not enough to say “I’m close in saves.” I want to know exactly how many points I can realistically gain or lose in each category in each of my leagues. If I can gain 6 but lose 3 then that’s a 9-point category and is likely one I really need to focus resources on. Once I do that and I see a category where there will realistically be very little movement, I can drop players who only really help me there. Yes, that means even dropping a really good closer if I already have 3 and don’t need saves anymore.

Brian Entrekin (Fantasy Pros, BaseballHQ, @bdentrek): I’ve been doing it for a few weeks, but each weekend, before FAAB I make a list of which categories I can benefit more from via FAAB for the rest of season. Attack those categories harder as the weeks go on. Also, an obvious one, counting stats are usually easier to gain roto points than ratios.

Andy Behrens (Yahoo Fantasy Sports, @andybehrens): Don’t let the fear of losing a trade prevent you from winning a league. This is the ideal time of year to make a move for a category specialist who can give you a big points bump in a short period of time. When you deal for a single-category contributor, there’s a decent chance you’re going to take a loss on the trade in terms of the value of the players involved. But if you have a shot to add 5 or 6 roto points by adding a closer or base-stealer, it might be the move that wins you a title.

Erik Halterman (Rotowire, @erik_halterman): Not a specific recommendation, by my main piece of advice regarding category management is to do more of it than you think and to do it earlier than you think. I’ve faded down the stretch in a few too many leagues in recent years, and I think it’s because I spend too long in talent-maximization mode and shift over to category-management mode too late.

Eric Cross (Rotoballer, @EricCross04): This is the time of year that you really need to look at each category closely and figure out which category can you gain the most ground in, which categories are tight with teams right behind you, and which categories you have a decent gap down to the next manager. You don’t need to win steals by a massive margin, especially if you could put someone else in your lineup that could move the needle for you in other categories.

Anthony Aniano (Rotoballer, @AAnianoFantasy): You can’t make up ground in every category, so try to maintain leads and be selective in the categories you can gain ground. The free agent add you place FAAB on may not be the best player available, but he may be the best player to help you gain a needed point or two.

Matt Cederholm (Baseball HQ, @TheBigHurtHQ): Make sure you factor in what other teams are doing. Especially in keeper leagues, teams out of contention may fall in several categories. Contending teams will improve. That’s an important factor in deciding which categories to attack.

Peter Kreutzer (Rotoman.substack.com, @kroyte): Lots of excellent observations above. Roster configuration is always a series of choices, and the temptation is to choose based on an average expected week, but if you’re trailing and trying to catch up you don’t need average weeks, you need great ones. Shape your roster to target the most gettable points but do your best to also maximize in all categories. You never know when you’ll fall into a 20 homer, or 15 steal, or 8 win week. It could be this week, if you’re lucky.

Tout Wars FAB Report: Week of August 19

Here are the results of this week’s FAB bidding. Remember, if you want to check out the standings, rosters and full transactions for particular league, just click in the section heading.

American League

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
ZMatthews, Min Chris Blessing 219
WWagner, Tor Andy Andres 61
TSweeney, Det Eric Samulski 41
BFrancis, Tor Andy Andres 41
TWalls, TB Mike Podhorzer 27
SWhitcomb, Hou Jeff Erickson 20
KFarmer, Min Larry Schechter 12
KMaeda, Det Jason Collette 5
KKelly, TB Jeff Erickson 3
OPeraza, NYY Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
BSammons, Det Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
KMontero, Det Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
HBigge, TB Eric Samulski 1
MThaiss, LAA Andy Andres 0
CThielbar, Min Patrick Davitt 0
JMcArthur, KC Andy Andres 0

National League

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
RLaureano, Atl Steve Gardner 115
JrgLopez, ChC Steve Gardner 68
AChaparro, Was Brian Walton 62
DRomo, Col Derek Carty 41
GMcCray, SF Rick Graham 9
JBeck, Col Peter Kreutzer 3
BCasparius, LAD Grey Albright 2
JTena, Was Derek Carty 1
NMears, Mil Phil Hertz 1
AGomber, Col Scott Pianowski 0
JKoenig, Mil Scott Pianowski 0
GStubbs, Phi Wilderman/Prior 0

Mixed Auction

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
STorkelson, Det Bret Sayre 103
OCabrera, NYY Bret Sayre 78
ZMatthews, Min Kev Mahserejian 77
FMontas, Mil Bret Sayre 74
ACobb, Cle Frank Stampfl 68
MRodriguez, TB Doug Anderson – Mike Carter 67
JrgLopez, ChC Doug Anderson – Mike Carter 47
AChaparro, Was Brent Hershey 25
OBido, Oak Dave Adler 25
MMelendez, KC Doug Anderson – Mike Carter 17
EUceta, TB Justin Mason 17
JWalker, StL Brent Hershey 14
VBellozo, Mia Todd Zola 13
MAmaya, ChC Doug Anderson – Mike Carter 11
DCarlson, TB Doug Anderson – Mike Carter 11
EJulien, Min Scott Swanay 10
DHill, Mia Jeff Zimmerman 5
GSheets, CWS Scott Engel 4
DPeralta, SD Tristan Cockcroft 2
DMartin, CWS Jeff Zimmerman 2
CSpiers, Cin Jeff Zimmerman 1

Mixed Draft

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
MKopech, LAD Adam Ronis 124
JJung, Det Shelly Verougstraete 86
SDominguez, Bal Scott White 83
JNoel, Cle Garion Thorne 55
MartPerez, SD Adam Ronis 38
EUceta, TB Tim McLeod 32
BFrancis, Tor Ryan Bloomfield 22
CKelly, Tex Mike Gianella 15
MRodriguez, TB Mike Gianella 15
AChaparro, Was Adam Ronis 12
VBellozo, Mia Anthony Aniano 8
NKavadas, LAA Tim McLeod 4
OCabrera, NYY Dr. Roto 4
WWagner, Tor Scott White 2
MMoniak, LAA Dr. Roto 2
JOrtiz, Mil Dr. Roto 2
QMathews, StL Shelly Verougstraete 1
MParker, Was Dr. Roto 1

Head to Head

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
MBoyd, Cle Ariel Cohen 54
JCaminero, TB Sky Dombroske 52
ZMatthews, Min Sky Dombroske 41
STorkelson, Det Frank Ammirante 33
MMeyer, Mia Ryan Hallam 27
MKopech, LAD Greg Jewett 18
JNoel, Cle Ryan Hallam 17
WMerrifield, Atl Greg Jewett 9
PMeadows, Det Ryan Hallam 8
NSchanuel, LAA Lauren Auerbach 7
ADelCastillo, Ari Lauren Auerbach 5
TAlexander, TB Michael Govier 3
JBoyle, Oak Frank Ammirante 3
AChaparro, Was Joe Gallina 3
LOrtiz, Pit Frank Ammirante 2
JEstes, Oak Lauren Auerbach 2

Mixed Draft with Alternate Categories

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
CWalker, Ari Zach Steinhorn 277
JCaminero, TB Derek VanRiper 177
ZMatthews, Min Matt Trussell 111
STorkelson, Det Ray Flowers 51
ACall, Was Ryan Boyer 44
JEstes, Oak Chris Towers 14
FFermin, KC Ray Flowers 14
WWagner, Tor Ryan Boyer 13
WMerrifield, Atl Geoff Pontes 13
FMontas, Mil Chris Towers 11
OLopez, Mia Carlos Marcano 3
DCarlson, TB Carlos Marcano 3
BFrancis, Tor Carlos Marcano 3
AGomber, Col Jeff Boggis 2
MBoyd, Cle Jeff Boggis 2
KLee, CWS Carlos Marcano 2
ABanda, LAD Carlos Marcano 2
AChaparro, Was Ryan Boyer 2
CPerez, Bal Carlos Marcano 1
OBido, Oak Derek VanRiper 0

Tout Table: Ranking Five Pitchers with a Concern

This week’s question: How do you rank these five starting pitchers for the rest of the season: Gerrit Cole, Paul Skenes, Robbie Ray, Garrett Crochet and Blake Snell?

Grey Albright (RazzBall, @razzball): Skenes………………..Snell, Crochet, Ray……..Gerrit Cole will need surgery before next Opening Day

Matt Truss (Razzball, @MattTruss): Skenes, everybody else (Snell, Ray, Crochet for K/9 only, Cole)

Sky Dombroske (Fantistics Insider Baseball, @SkyDombroske): Snell, Skenes, Ray, Cole, Crochet. Snell is on an absolute heater right now. Cole doesn’t look right at all, but trusting anything about the White Sox seems chancy.

Eric Samulski (Rotoballer, @SamskiNYC): Skenes, Snell, Cole, Ray, Crochet. Hard to say Cole is 100% back given we’ve seen the command of his pitches vary from start to start. The White Sox limiting Crochet’s innings is hurting his value

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): Skenes… gap… Ray, Snell or Snell, Ray (could go either way). Another gap. Gotta feel for Crochet situation. And don’t understand what is going on with Cole. If something is wrong with Cole, what are the Yankees even doing?

Carlos Marcano (Triple Play Fantasy, @camarcano): Skenes, Ray, Snell, Cole, Crochet. Skenes is just otherworldly as everybody knows, Ray looks like the CY version of himself, just older, Snell is on a roll, Cole feels iffy, and Crochet will continue being limited and 4 IP per game are not going to make it for me.

Nick Pollack (Pitcher List, @PitcherList): Paul Skenes, Blake Snell, Gerrit Cole, Robbie Ray, Garrett Crochet. It’s possible this changes next week if Cole is starting to use his slider more effectively or if Ray showcases more volatility or if Crochet is allowed to toss 90 pitches again. As of now, those questions put them in this order with Skenes’ consistency favoring him over Snell, despite #HotSnellSummer. We all know Snell’s curveball feel could disappear overnight, which would put the brakes on his explosive run (even if we don’t expect it to).

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): 1. Skenes/Snell …. 3. Ray/Cole … 5. Crochet. Clearly both Skenes and Snell have mitigating concerns, IP for Skenes if PIT drops back, injury risk for Snell because…well, he’s Snell. But all five of these guys look at least somewhat risky for various reasons, and since my Ouija board is at the garage for a tune-up, I’ll just go by what I see.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Please don’t tell Nick, but I’m ranking Snell No. 1. I’ve been one of his biggest skeptics (Snell, not Nick, who can question Nick?) but I’ve seen enough to trust him down the stretch, and I don’t see Snell missing any starts. Skenes is just silly good (duh), but he could have his workload tempered. I’m torn on Cole versus Ray. It’s hard to judge whether Ray’s command and control is 100% back after rehabbing from TJS, since he rarely exhibits them solidly anyway. I think I’ll give Cole the nod, expecting him to figure it out, though Grey has a point with the health concern. That leaves Ray, then Crochet. That said, I am not running away from Ray (unless it’s Flowers or Murphy and they claim I owe them some money).

Tristan H. Cockcroft (ESPN, @SultanofStat): Has anyone considered that Skenes is on pace for 162 innings and change despite being on a strict five-days’-rest schedule, for a team that’s probably not making the playoffs? I’m as much of a fan as anyone, but it’s hard to fathom this much of a divide in opinion over worries about Crochet’s and Skenes’ potential September workloads. Snell, Skenes, Cole, Ray, Crochet (whose might already be done as a fantasy contributor) for me.

Vlad Sedler (FTN Fantasy, @rotogut): Skenes, Snell/Ray, Cole, Crochet. Wins are a roto category, and Crochet will be hard-pressed to earn them as the White Sox leave kid gloves on him and are cautious allowing him to pitch more than four innings per start. It was already difficult for White Sox’ pitchers to rack up wins, but this makes it near impossible. Snell and Ray will both be exceptional down the stretch and should be among the K% leaders the rest of this season.

Ryan Boyer (Rotowire, Baseball Prospectus, @RyanPBoyer): I’ve got Snell at the top, followed closely by Skenes. Snell presents obvious risk, but when he’s cooking, boy, does he cook. Additionally, the injuries he dealt with earlier in the season could be a blessing in disguise since he should be fresh down the stretch. I have him over Skenes because of the risk of Skenes’ workload being tempered if/when the Pirates fall out of playoff contention. Rounding out the five for me are Cole, Ray and Crochet.

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson): I also have Snell at the top, followed by Skenes. Like Tristan suggested, I’m concerned about Operation Shutdown when it comes to Skenes, especially seeing what the Padres did to the Pirates this week. I’d follow that with Ray, then Cole, and then finally Crochet. The shutdown/White Sox concerns weigh way too heavily on Crochet – I wouldn’t be surprised if he doesn’t throw a single pitch in September.

Tim McLeod ( Prospect361, @RunTMcP361): Snell (On a roll and will be out there every fifth day), Skenes (The Pirates will shut him down at some point, one would think?), Cole ( Won’t overwork him with the playoffs looming), Ray (With his walk rates and on a pitch count, getting through 5 innings could prove a challenge), and finally Crochet (He’ll shut himself down if that hasn’t already started to occur). I agree with Jeff re:Crochet and wouldn’t be counting on much if anything in September.

Garion Thorne (DraftKings, @GarionThorne): Think you have to go Skenes at the top of the list. He’s leading MLB in ERA (1.99) and he’s sixth in strikeouts (107) since debuting on May 11. Snell and Ray feel like the next tier. Snell’s been incredible since using rehab as Spring Training, while Ray’s just a poor man’s version of his teammate. Not that poor, though, as evidenced by a 17.3% swinging strike rate. Finally, I’ll take Cole over Crochet to close things out. Cole’s numbers (and elbow) are worrisome, but Crochet might just be a glorified long man at this point. Who knows how he’ll be deployed in September.

Chris Clegg (Pitcher List, @RotoClegg): Snell, Skenes, Cole, Ray, Crochet. Snell has been the best second half pitcher in baseball since 2021 and looks like he is doing it again this year. He and Skenes are close at the top for me.

Scott White (CBS Fantasy Sports, @CBSScottWhite): The Pirates did a good job managing Paul Skenes’ innings at the front end, so I don’t think he’ll have any workload concerns and should be No. 1. I’ll admit it’s weird the way Blake Snell just turns on a dime midseason, going from being completely unusable to the best pitcher in baseball, but after three consecutive years of it, I’m inclined to bet on it happening again, making him No. 2. I’ll stick with Gerrit Cole at No. 3 for now, but he’ll need to get his act together soon. Let’s put Robbie Ray No. 4. I’ve mostly been happy with what I’ve seen in his handful of starts back from Tommy John surgery, but he’s been pretty erratic over the years, which makes for a wide range of possible outcomes. Garrett Crochet is No. 5, and it’s entirely because of workload concerns. Preserving his value should be the White Sox’s top objective to close out the season.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis): It all depends on if the Pittsburgh Pirates shut down Paul Skenes early or not. I’m going to rank Paul Skenes first. Blake Snell is pitching well and is ranked a close 2nd. I have Ray 3rd, Cole 4th, and Garrett Crochet 5th. The wildcard here is Cole as he’s not pitching very well right now.

Howard Bender (Fantasy Alarm, @RotoBuzzGuy): Snell, Cole Skenes (I fear the shutdown), Ray, Crochet (another shutdown coming)

Phil Hertz (Baseball HQ, @prhz50): 1. Snell – the ace is back. 2. Skenes – a little risk of a September shutdown, but a risk I’ll take; 3. Ray – here because I prefer him to 4 and 5. 4. Cole – I don’t think he’s 100% and NYY will be careful with him. 5. Crochet – terrible team and a shutdown coming, perhaps before August is over.

Ron Shandler (RonShandler.com, @RonShandler): I’d rather have seen a ranking of how many innings everyone thinks these pitchers are going to get the rest of the way. That’s going to be the driving factor behind any other rankings. Once Pittsburgh falls out of wild card contention, Skenes’ value will drop. Snells’ heath will always be a question. I would not be the least surprised to see Ray as the most valuable the rest of the way.

Lauren Auerbach (Fantrax, @lkauerbach): Skenes/Snell/Ray/Cole/Crochet. Skenes has been successful pitching every six days, and I expect that to continue — especially while the Pirates are in the playoff hunt. Snell closes out seasons on a strong note and ranks as a close second for me. Ray can be volatile but brings strikeout upside and could surprise rest of season. Cole hasn’t looked very Cole-esque this season — Ks are down and command is shaky. He has the talent to turn things around, but color me concerned. Crochet hasn’t surpassed four innings in his last six starts while carrying a 13.9% K-BB% in that stretch. That’s not going to cut it moving forward.

Fred Zinkie (Yahoo/Rotowire, @FredZinkieMLB): Skenes, Snell, Ray, Cole, Crochet. To me, there is a big drop-off after the top two. And another drop-off before Crochet, who may not earn another win this season.

Larry Schechter (Winning Fantasy Baseball, @LarrySchechter): Skenes, Snell, Cole, Ray, Crochet. Crochet shouldn’t even be on this list, probably won’t pitch 5 innings again which means zero wins.

CJ Kaltenbach (Fantasy Guru, @TheSeigeDFS): Snell, Skenes (only #2 because of the shutdown risk) HUGE GAP, EVEN MORE OF A GAP, Then Cole (injury risk but will pitch rest of the way), then Ray (shutdown risk at end of the year) and Crochet is closer to a cut than being on this list thanks to him never pitching 5+ innings anymore

Scott Chu (Pitcher List, @ifthechufits): SKUBAL, Skenes, Snell…………… Ray, Cole…………. Crochet. One thing on shutdown risk – teams have gotten more creative on how they limit innings, and also, I tend to be more worried about injury/poor performance than the shutdowns themselves. I get too many questions about what to do when so-and-so gets shut down, and the reality is that unless that shut down is in the next 2 starts, there isn’t anything actionable. And why aren’t we asking about Skubal? People should be talking about Skubal all the time because that high leg kick and nasty stuff make this world a happier place.

Michael A. Stein (Fantasy Judgment, @FantasyJudgment): 1. Skenes – of course there is a risk he gets shut down, but if the Pirates remain on the periphery of a wild card position, then it is hard to imagine they pull the plug on him. 2. Snell – I have never been a fan of his but there is no denying that he has been dominant lately and is certainly pitching like he has something to prove. 3. Cole – he clearly does not seem right, but he is a gamer and will find some way to still be productive. However, if he is trying to fight through something more serious then all bets are off. 4. Ray – it is always tricky when immediately coming back from Tommy John surgery. Expect inconsistency and a possible shut down if the Giants truly fall out of playoff contention. 5. Crochet – he has been a nice story and the only positive aspect of the White Sox season, but I think it is all downhill from here.

Rick Graham (Pitcher List, @IAmRickGraham): Snell, Skenes…Cole, Ray…Crochet. I think Snell vs Skenes is a toss-up but I’m leaning Snell here because he’s peaking at the right time while there’s risk Skenes is limited down the stretch. Cole and Ray are close for the 3rd spot, both having their issues when it comes to health, but I’ll give Cole the edge given what his upside can be. Crochet will be limited down the stretch and there’s a very good chance he won’t get a win again this season.

Bret Sayre (Baseball Prospectus, @BretSayreBP): Snell, Skenes, Cole, Ray, Crochet. When Snell is on a heater, there’s almost no one better. I do think Cole turns it around over the last two months but without the same kind of strikeout numbers we usually come to expect from him. Crochet may not have more than 30 innings left in him the rest of the way.

Alan Harrison (The Fantasy Fix, @TheFantasyFix): Skenes, Snell, Ray, Cole and Crochet. Skenes has been and should continue to be a force for as long as the Pirates let him go. Second-half Snell is here – he’s been out of his mind. Ray is back. Is Cole okay? Crochet was a fun story while it lasted but the limited innings and team context makes him last on this list.

Glenn Colton (SiriusXM Fantasy, @GlennColton1): This is tough, and it is tough to feel super confident about any. Call me a homer but I think Gerrit Cole rises to the occasion as the Yankees desperately need him to be well, Cole. As to Paul Skenes and Garrett Crochet, tough to trust that their teams will fire that many more bullets and thus, their value for this year, is questionable. As to Ray and Snell, do you feel lucky? My ranks: Cole, Skenes, Ray, Snell, Crochet.

Dave Adler (Baseball HQ, @daveadler01): Cole rights the ship over the rest of the year, so I have him at 1. Snell second as his strand rate normalizes. Skenes and Crochet probably up against innings limit, so while they will pitch well, their usage is likely to be curtailed. Ray last…

Michael Govier (Pallazzo Podcast, @mjgovier): Skenes/Ray/Cole/Snell/Crochet for me. Crochet has to be looking at a reduction in innings here any day now. I can’t imagine they run him out there regularly ROS. Skenes is a god. I completely missed out incredible he would be right off the bat. I have no shares at all. He just got drafted last year for crying out loud! I am in awe of what he has done. Ray has looked good since returning & the Giants are on fire right now! Maybe I should have put Snell second & Ray 4th? I am always against Snell because I don’t trust his consistency, but is Ray really that much more consistent than Snell? I may need to check myself before I wreck myself.

Shelly Verougstraete (Fantasy Feud Podcast, @ShellyV_643): Snell, Skenes, Ray, Cole, Crochet. Snell appears to be on one of his patented hot streaks. I’m worried about Cole. Something just seems off.

D.J. Short (NBC Sports, @djshort): I’ll put them in tiers. Tier 1 – Snell, Skenes, Tier 2 – Cole, Ray, Tier 3 – Crochet. Snell has the least questions of anyone on this list, at least in terms of certainty through the end of the season. The Pirates are sliding and therefore the chances of a shutdown in September appears more likely.

Scott Engel (The Game Day, @ScottETheKing): Tough call on the top two as Skenes may fall off a bit and Cole will likely be the real Cole the rest of the way. I will lean to Cole first then Skenes. Snell would be third, as he has quickly recaptured good form. and Ray fourth, even though I like him. The shine has worn off Crochet and I will now be looking ahead to his 2025 campaign.

Brian Entrekin (Fantasy Pros, BaseballHQ, @bdentrek): Fun list here. I have 2H Snell leading the way. Give me Skenes second, hoping he can finish the season strong. Cole and Ray are a 3A/3B. Crochet is a distant 5th, I even dropped him in my leagues this week.

Corbin Young (Baseball HQ, Rotowire, @corbin_young21): Snell, Skenes, Ray, Crochet, Cole. Snell and Skenes have shown ace-like upside to carry your squads. Ray and Crochet have some volatility but still have above-average skills on a per-inning basis. It’s probably injury related, but Cole’s metrics look concerning. Cole’s skills went from elite to above average to mediocre in 2024, and it’s unlikely for him to bounce back completely.

Anthony Aniano (Rotoballer, @AAnianoFantasy): Skenes at the top of the list. He’s must watch TV at this point. I expect Cole to find his groove and remind people he’s a CY Young Winner at number 2. Snell sits 3rd since it seems he’s finally woken up and decided to pitch. Ray sits 4th and Crochet comes in last because on inning and obvious team concerns.

Frank Stampfl (SportsGrid, RotoExperts, @Roto_Frank): I’ll go Skenes, Snell, Cole, Ray, Crochet. Skenes has looked a touch more human recently but still boasts ridiculous K-BB% and GB%. Snell looks to be fully back to Cy Young form, which makes him a borderline ace. Skenes edges Snell out because of control but it’s close between the two. Gerrit Cole finally looked like himself this weekend, racking up 26 swinging strikes on 90 pitches against the Rangers. I need to see more consistency before I fully buy back in. Robbie Ray has mostly been solid but the velocity was down in his latest start plus I think Cole’s upside is still higher. Crochet checks in last because I have no idea what to expect moving forward. He got bombed in his latest start and hasn’t thrown more than four innings in a start since June 30. My guess is the White Sox continue to limit Crochet, perhaps even shut him down completely.

Joe Gallina (Fantasy Alarm, @joegallina): Snell is my number one. He’s hot, the Giants are hot, and he’s always been a very good second half pitcher (3.98 career first half ERA, 2.41 in the second half). I would have picked Skenes as my number one but with the Pirates tanking right now, wins might be tough to come by. Cole is number three, but he has been pitching much better lately and by the end of the season he’ll likely be performing like the ace that fantasy managers drafted him to be. Robbie Ray has pitched well but Cole has a better chance of giving fantasy managers wins. That leaves Crochet who is a good pitcher, pitching for a horrible team who will have his innings limited the rest of the way.

Matt Cederholm (Baseball HQ, @TheBigHurtHQ): Skenes, despite potential IP limit. Ray looks back to 2022 form. Cole should be heathy ROS. Snell is hot, until he’s not. Crochet has too many team-related questions to trust ROS.

Eric Cross (Rotoballer, @EricCross04): It feels weird to rank a rookie first here, but that’s how good Paul Skenes is. Gotta go with Gerrit Cole after that followed by Blake Snell, Robbie Ray, and Garrett Crochet. The only reason why Crochet is last is that I believe he gets shut down soon. He just went past the 120-inning mark after having 12.2 innings combined in 2022/2023 and a previous career high of 54.1 innings back in 2021. With the White Sox on pace for a million losses this season, it makes sense for them to shut down their prized lefty soon.

Seth Trachtman (SethRoto.com, Yardbarker, @sethroto): Snell, Skenes, Ray, Cole, Crochet. I find it really tough to put Skenes No. 1 because of the innings uncertainty, especially if Pittsburgh falls out of the race in early September. Snell is in a groove, so I’ll put him No. 1 and Ray’s velo has also shown promise. I’m not sure we will ever see peak Gerrit Cole again given the velo decline, and Crochet is struggling and on a pitch count.

Joe Orrico (Fantasy Pros, @JoeOrrico99): Snell, Skenes, Ray, Cole, and Crochet. Snell looks primed to be an SP1 down the stretch (as he seems to do every year). Skenes is great but I worry about some potential restrictions over the final month, and he’s also looked a bit more human as of late. Ray vs Cole is an interesting one, but I just don’t trust that Cole is fully healthy, on top of the signs of decline we have seen over the past year or so. Crochet would arguably be 1/2 on this list for me without the restrictions that CWS has put on him as of late. You could argue that he’s droppable in shallow formats at this point

Steve Gardner (USA TODAY Sports, @SteveAGardner): 1. Snell, 2. Skenes, 3. Cole, 4. Ray, 5. Crochet. All based on innings pitched, which translates to more strikeouts and wins. I believe in Snell finishing strong and in Skenes’ talent. Cole has been a mystery this season but can find the groove at any time. Not sure what Ray can give down the stretch. And there’s no reason for the White Sox to push Crochet at all ROS.

Greg Jewett (The Athletic, @gjewett9): Snell seems to be the consensus pick. I understand worries about Cole and his workload, but the Yankees have the third easiest remaining schedule, and Skenes’ workload will be tapered soon. Going against the groupthink a bit here: Snell, Cole, Skenes, Ray, and Crochet.

Ian Kahn (@IanKahn4): This is tough, and I keep moving guys around except for Crochet. He has to be the bottom no? Then Cole, because he could be actually hurt. Then Ray, because he looks like old Rob Ray out there, and that is grunty and good. Then Blake Snell, because he’s certainly got the guns, and hasn’t used many bullets, and he throws real good when he throws good. Right now he’s throwing real good. Then Skenes, but not by a mile, because yeah, he’s better by a mile, but he only could be running 1/2 of that mile. But he is really good at running metaphorical miles. SO Skenes, Snell, Ray, Cole and Crochet. Have an excellent day!

Tout Wars FAB Report: August 12

Here are the results of this week’s FAB bidding. Remember, if you want to check out the standings, rosters and full transactions for particular league, just click in the section heading.

American League

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
MBoyd, Cle Larry Schechter 366
NSogard, Bos Larry Schechter 118
ZDezenzo, Hou Eric Samulski 97
SDominguez, Bal Chris Blessing 64
WBrennan, Cle Eric Samulski 61
OBido, Oak Chris Blessing 38
RUrias, Bal Doug Dennis 35
MStefanic, LAA Larry Schechter 30
DHernaiz, Oak Doug Dennis 17
TStory, Bos Andy Andres 11
RGonzalez, Bos Jeff Erickson 11
CKelly, Tex Jason Collette 4
KBubic, KC Mike Podhorzer 3
ASlater, Bal Patrick Davitt 2
CSnider, Sea Eric Samulski 1
JCousins, NYY Doug Dennis 0
BSmith, Bal Jason Collette 0
MOtanez, Oak Andy Andres 0

National League

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
JMartinez, Ari Scott Pianowski 144
JEncarnacion, SF Scott Pianowski 99
DHall, Mil Steve Gardner 39
VBellozo, Mia Peter Kreutzer 23
ADelCastillo, Ari Peter Kreutzer 22
DHill, Mia Ian Kahn 18
TWalker, Phi Derek Carty 8
MartPerez, SD Rick Graham 1
SMoll, Cin Grey Albright 1
HBrazoban, NYM Phil Hertz 0
RStanek, NYM Grey Albright 0

Mixed Auction

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
RWalker, SF Justin Mason 189
ACall, Was Scott Chu 81
JBart, Pit Dave Adler 64
MBoyd, Cle Todd Zola 57
BFrancis, Tor Tristan Cockcroft 45
ADelCastillo, Ari Frank Stampfl 34
AChapman, Pit Frank Stampfl 34
THolton, Det Doug Anderson – Mike Carter 33
BHurter, Det Todd Zola 23
TFrance, Cin Kev Mahserejian 15
ABenintendi, CWS Tristan Cockcroft 14
JBride, Mia Doug Anderson – Mike Carter 11
MMassey, KC Doug Anderson – Mike Carter 9
LKnack, LAD Kev Mahserejian 8
SDominguez, Bal Jeff Zimmerman 7
IKinerFalefa, Pit Jeff Zimmerman 4
LVarland, Min Dave Adler 3
TyRogers, SF Scott Engel 3
ZDezenzo, Hou Jeff Zimmerman 3
VScott, StL Scott Engel 3
DDaniel, LAA Jeff Zimmerman 2
AThomas, Ari Kev Mahserejian 2

Mixed Draft

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
RWalker, SF Seth Trachtman 400
PBlackburn, NYM Rudy Gamble 78
ZDezenzo, Hou Scott White 53
JMontgomery, Ari Garion Thorne 51
GHolmes, Atl Ryan Bloomfield 46
NMartinez, Cin Ryan Bloomfield 45
ADelCastillo, Ari Tim McLeod 43
GPerdomo, Ari Brian Entrekin 33
DHamilton, Bos Garion Thorne 31
BNaylor, Cle Garion Thorne 26
OBido, Oak Tim McLeod 19
MBoyd, Cle Dr. Roto 15
ZMatthews, Min Tim McLeod 14
AChapman, Pit Scott White 13
JEncarnacion, SF Dr. Roto 12
MAmaya, ChC Ray Murphy 11
VScott, StL Adam Ronis 8
LJimenez, Tor Brian Entrekin 4

Head to Head

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
AVaughn, CWS Blake Meyer 27
PBlackburn, NYM Blake Meyer 26
TRogers, Bal Blake Meyer 24
MartPerez, SD Lauren Auerbach 22
MWallner, Min Lauren Auerbach 18
IKinerFalefa, Pit Blake Meyer 17
JPederson, Ari Greg Jewett 15
ACall, Was Michael Govier 13
GPerdomo, Ari Lauren Auerbach 11
NMartinez, Cin Greg Jewett 7
JBart, Pit Ryan Hallam 4
BFrancis, Tor Michael Govier 4
RWalker, SF Joe Gallina 2

Mixed Draft with Alternate Categories

PLAYER TEAM MANAGER BID
JBurger, Mia Joe Orrico 260
YKikuchi, Hou Geoff Pontes 210
MMiller, Oak Sara Sanchez 112
JMcCarthy, Ari Zach Steinhorn 57
AlSuarez, Bal Joe Orrico 51
PBlackburn, NYM Matt Trussell 49
ADelCastillo, Ari Chris Towers 27
AChapman, Pit Geoff Pontes 25
JBride, Mia Sara Sanchez 23
YaRodriguez, Tor Ray Flowers 19
JButto, NYM Joe Orrico 14
ANardi, Mia Sara Sanchez 12
JEncarnacion, SF Derek VanRiper 11
JMartinez, Ari Ray Flowers 9
VVodnik, Col John Laghezza 7
ABenintendi, CWS Jeff Boggis 5
CFulmer, LAA Derek VanRiper 2