Author: admin

THE FINAL WEEKEND: The Tout Wars AL Race

Seth Trachtman has a 10 point lead in Tout AL going into the final weekend. The Standings:

screenshot-2016-09-30-11-57-37

If you think that means he’s going to rest easy this weekend, not so fast.

A bad weekend could potentially cost him nine and a half points, and he doesn’t have many similarly easy points to gain to offset potential calamity.

Patrick Davitt has four points to gain, which could potentially put him into first, but also has four points to lose, so he’s going to have to have a good weekend with the bat and on the mound to have a shot. Trachtman just needs not to implode.

 

THE FINAL WEEKEND: The Tout Wars NL Race

Going into the final three days of the 2016 season, three Touts are battling for first place in Tout NL, separated by just three and a half points. The Standings:

screenshot-2016-09-30-11-32-19

We took a look at how many points were in play for the three teams this weekend.

On the hitting side:

Zola could gain a point in Runs, Home Runs, and On Base Percentage, and has one point to lose in OBP. (+3/-1)

Carty can gain a point in Runs, Home Runs and OBP, and gain half a point in Stolen Bases, while losing a point in Runs and half a point in SB. (+3.5/-1.5).

Wilderman can gain half a point in SB, lose two points in OBP, lose one point in Runs and HR, and half a point in SB. (+.5/-4.5)

On the pitching side:

Zola can gain one point in WHIP and can lose one point in Wins and Strikeouts, and perhaps lose half a point in Saves. He has three starts left, and the guy who is chasing him in strikeouts, Steve Gardner, has only two. (+1/-2.5)

Carty can gain one point in Strikeouts, and can lose one point in WHIP and Strikeouts and a half point in Wins. He has five starts left and is five strikeouts behind Wilderman and eight Ks behind Phil Hertz, who has only three starts left. (+2/-2.5)

Wilderman can gain one point in Wins and one in Strikeouts, and could lose points in ERA, WHIP, and Strikeouts. He has five starts left and is three Strikeouts behind Phil Hertz, who has only three starts left. (+2/-3)

Put it all together:

Zola has 92 points. If everything went right he could end up with 96. If everything went wrong he could end up with 89.5.

Carty has 89 points. Right? 95. Wrong? 85.5.

Wilderman has 88.5 points. Right? 91.5. Wrong? 81.

While anything can happen the final weekend, games can be cancelled and not made up because of the weather, or a scheduled starter might no make a start (or make an abbreviated start) because of the coming playoffs, it appears that Zola doesn’t have a big lead but is in a strong position. Still, if he falters he is vulnerable if either Carty or Wilderman has a good final weekend.

 

 

 

 

September 26 FAAB Reports!

We’re down to the final days, but we have some races and Mastersball has some comments about this week’s FAAB pickups.

Mike Gianella’s last notes from Baseball Prospectus this year.

Zimmerman Dominates in Tout Head To Head!

As we draw to the end of the penultimate series of the 2017 Tout Head to Head season, Jeff Zimmerman is soundly beating Jeff Boggis, and is poised to go 6-0 for the week.

Brent Hershey’s second-place team is being edged by Peter Kreutzer’s team in both hitting and pitching, and is in danger of going 0-6 for the week. But this has been a see saw battle all the way, so there is certainly a fair chance that Hershey’s team will pull it out. There are four days of major league games left to play.

Here are the current standings for head to head play.

screenshot-2016-09-15-17-58-12

But Tout Daily isn’t just about the head to head. Wins and Losses are also applied based on roto 5×5 standings for the first half, second half, and whole season. We’ve had a hard time introducing this novel system into the automated scoring our stat service provides, but here are the standings for the various periods to date.

The first half standings:

Screenshot 2016-07-05 11.33.36

The current second half standings are:

screenshot-2016-09-15-18-42-03

We’ll hold off on the end of season standings until the season is over, but it seems pretty clear that there will be no dramatic surprises. The first and second half Top 3 are the same, if slightly resorted.

And here are the combined first and second-half to date standings:

screenshot-2016-09-15-18-55-13

 

It’s going to take some major reversals for Brent Hershey to overtake Jeff Zimmerman in the race for the first Tout Head to Head crown.

Who Is Winning Tout Wars, September 9 Edition: Trachtman, Carty, Zinkie, Ronis

There are just a little more than three weeks left in the season, which seems like a good time to check in on the Tout Wars pennant races.

TOUT WARS AL

On August 28, Larry Schechter had a slight lead over Seth Trachtman, 82.5 to 80.5, but since then Schechter’s team has tanked (only Jeff Erickson’s team has played worse, and Jeff’s in last place on the season). As a result, Trachtman now has an eight point lead over Lawr Michaels, and an 11 point lead over Schechter.

Any lead that can be opened up that quickly, especially since Trachtman’s team has been a middlin’ performer the last two weeks, can be closed just as quickly. See the standings here.

TOUT WARS NL

Earlier in the season, Derek Carty had a 10 point lead in this league, but Todd Zola caught up to him more than a month ago, and the two have been going back and forth ever since. Today Carty has a two point lead over Zola, and a 10 point lead over Scott Wilderman.

Since August 15th, the leagues best team has been Phil Hertz’s, but he’s stuck in fifth place, 13.5 points behind the leader. Zola has had the second best team, continuing to do what got him there, while Carty’s team has ranked sixth as his hitting has lagged.

This looks like a two-horse race between Zola and Carty, but watch out if any of the Brian Walton-Phil Hertz-Scott Wilderman troika who trail them get hot. See the full standings here.

TOUT WARS MIXED AUCTION

What was a tight five-team race at midseason has turned into a battle, for now, between Fred Zinkie and Zach Steinhorn, with Zinkie one point ahead of Steinhorn. But don’t count out Cory Schwartz, whose team has struggled recently but is just seven points behind Zinkie, and Joe Pisapia, who is 11.6 points behind and playing well.

Zinkie has won the Mixed Auction league three times, and Schwartz has won once. Steinhorn and Pisapia are looking for their first Tout Wars victories. See the full standings here.

TOUT WARS MIXED DRAFT

Since August 1st, Adam Ronis has gained 23 points and climbed from fifth to first, while Anthony Perri has lost 15 points and dropped from first to fifth. Ronis leads Rudy Gamble by 9.5 points, and Rudy is just points ahead of Rick Wilton and Tom Kessenich.

Since August 15th Ronis and Tom Kessenich have been in overdrive (Ronis in the top 5 in all categories, Kessenich in the Top 3 in seven cats). If that continues this thing is over. See the full standings here.

TOUT WARS HEAD TO HEAD

Look for a separate post soon, with updated W-L records based on the Roto cats. See the incomplete standings here.

TOUT WARS DAILY

Patrick Davitt is the 2016 champion. See the leaderboard here.

 

 

September Call Ups: FAAB Commentaries for September 5!

Mastersball’s commentary on five Tout Wars leagues can be found here, including Tout NL leading Todd Zola’s rationale for picking up Adam Morgan this week.

Mike Gianella’s comments on Tout AL, Tout NL and LABR Mixed are right here.

Tout FAAB Remarks for the Week of August 29th!

Mastersball hits on four cylinders (Rotoman skipped out on H2H comments, but Todd wades in gracefully) about this week’s FAAB moves right here!

If Rotoman had remembered to send Todd Zola copy, he would have said: Stephania Bell grabs the only prize that mattered this week: Gary Sanchez, the greatest catcher of all time. Rotoman is terrified of not making his innings and decided to load up on starters this week, in hopes he can get back to running out relievers in the two two-week H2H contests coming up in September.

Mike Gianella’s comments on Tout NL and AL (plus LABR Mixed) at Baseball Prospectus may blow your mind.