Why Play the Season? 2011 Projected Winners Announced

Close the polls, the fans have spoken. They declare that Nate Ravitz (NL) and Andy Behrens (Mix) will repeat, and Matt Berry (AL) will win his first Tout Wars title this year. But what do the numbers say?

onRoto.com is using BaseballHQ.com’s inseason projections this year, and so we can see how the teams are slated to finish by the numbers:

The envelope says… The AL winner is Larry Schechter. The NL winner is Scott Pianowski. The Mixed winner is BaseballHQ.com’s own Paul Petera. Follow the links to see pdfs of the projected final standings.

TOUT AL final pdf | TOUT NL final pdf | TOUT MIX final pdf

SABR’s F.X. Flinn presents the SABR Trophy

At NYC’s Foley’s on March 18th, SABR’s FX Flinn present SABR Trophies to AL Champ Jason Grey and Mixed League Champ Andy Behrens, and shares a bit of roto history, too.

Cover It Live blog here for Tout Wars AL auction, March 19 at 9 am

Look for radio coverage at Sirius/XM and mlb.com. Look for the live blog here.

2011 TOUT: AL Contenders Announced!

The contenders in Tout Wars AL in 2011 are (# = New League, * = Tout Rookie)

Jason Grey, espn.com (2010 Champion)
Larry Schechter, sandlotshrink.com #
Jeff Erickson, rotowire.com
Todd Zola, mastersball.com #
Dean Peterson, stats.com
Steve Moyer, baseballinfosolutions.com
Mike Siano, mlb.com
Jason Collette, baseballprospectus.com
Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton, rotoworld.com
Ron Shandler, baseballhq.com
Matt Berry, espn.com
Lawr Michaels, mastersball.com

Tout AL: Jason Collette’s Draft Day Accounting

In this story for RotoTimes, Jason Collette takes inventory on how each Tout AL team’s draft day roster has performed.

This approach has the virtue of isolating what it was that teams did right (and wrong) on draft day, whether these things were in their control or not.

Most interestingly, only Jason Grey’s runaway leading team has posted a positive value since draft day, and that is just +$2.

Also of interest is the big draft day hit Mike Siano’s team has taken, in large part by paying $29 for Grady Sizemore on draft day. But, as Jason points out, Mike dealt Sizemore to Jeff Erickson the day before Sizemore crashed and burned for the season (for Cliff Lee–ouch), so it was Erickson who who paid most of the price. That doesn’t show in these numbers.

There are a lot of components to a fantasy baseball season. Draft day is one part. Jason’s survey gives some idea how important a good draft is to fielding a winning team. And how tough it is to overcome cataclysmic injury, unless you’re Mike Siano.