Tout Table: Lowball Trade Offers

This week’s question: How do you handle lowball trade offers? What do you do when a trade you consider is lopsided is announced?

Lenny Melnick (LennyMelnickFantasySports, @LennyMelnick): Ask the owner offering the stupid deal “how does this help me”? If Both teams cannot say how the deal hepls them get to playoffs or Money…Void the deal if owner cant say how it helps !!

Howard Bender (Fantasy Alarm, @RotobuzzGuy): The worse a lowball offer is, the more disgusting my counter-offer becomes. As for a lopsided trade being announced, I usually just keep my mouth shut. There ws one exception though where I reached out to the commissioner because the person in third and trying to climb made an extremely egregious trade with a disconnected owner who hadn’t made a move almost the whole year. I simply asked, “What’s up?” and the commish told me that’s just the way it is. Nothing else to do about it. You certainly don’t want to be the guy who lobbies the league for a veto.

Seth Trachtman (Rotoworld, @sethroto): I try not to take lowball offers personally. I’ll usually just promptly turn down the offer, and if the owner continues to make lowball offers, I’ll explain to the other owner why I’m turning the offers down. I have a hard time coming up with a situation where a fantasy trade offer is worth burning bridges. There’s not much you can do for lopsided trades, unless there’s collusion involved. I’d contact the commissioner in that case, but lopsided trades are just one of the realities of playing in a league that allows trades. Beauty is in the eye of the beholder.

Jeff Zimmerman (Fangraphs, The Process, @jeffwzimmerman): Reject and move on. One owner will almost every weekend send a trade offer on a couple replacement level players. They are the players he plans on releasing when FAAB runs. As for lopsided trades, I don’t care one bit. It anything about it is too fishy, either they or myself needs to leave the league.

Michael Florio (NFL Network, @MichaelFFlorio): I may disagree with others on this, but I simply reject the offer and keep it moving. I do not think you owe it to anyone to have to make a counter-offer. If you are interested in making a deal great, but just because they want too, doesn’t mean you have too. When a trade I consider lopsided occurs, there really is not much I think that can be done. I do not believe in vetos, because most owners think selfishly and take advantage of the veto for their best interest. But unless you can prove collusion, I just think you got to leave it be. But take note of the owner involved, because you should be making that guy some offers in the future.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): I used to do the passive-aggressive thing where I would respond either by countering with a more one-sided trade in my favor or the question “Why would I want to do that?” Now I’ll either respond with a quick “no thanks” or, if I see the seeds for something more mutually beneficial, a bona fide counteroffer. I try to keep the mindset that most people aren’t looking to take advantage of other owners; they just value the players involved differently than I do.

Rudy Gamble (Razzball, @RudyGamble): Most managers in your league suck as trade partners. I am sure most are good people but they either overvalue their players or want $1.20 on the dollar to feel totally confident in making a trade. So when the lowball offers come, I either politely decline or make a reasonable counter-offer that will generally be declined. Since I only play in industry leagues or no trade leagues, I do not have to worry about lowball trades. But at least 5 times a year I tell Grey to get out of his NL-only dynasty league because the trading in that league is shady as f**k (which is my nickname for a big oak tree).

Phil Hertz (BaseballHQ, @prhz50): I try to make the most of lowball offers, by treating them as opening salvos. Once I know what they’re interested in, I try to see if I can turn the offer around to my advantage by finding some gems on his offer.

Glenn Colton (Fantasy Alarm, @GlennColton1): Lowball trade offers depend on the source. If received from a league-mate known to be difficult, I just ignore them. However, if received from a straight shooter (e.g., Doug Dennis and Chris Liss always make fair offers in Tout and LABR), then you simply counter and try to get a fair deal done. As to the announcement of a lopsided trade, I often do two things: 1) write to the owner and say “hey, next time canvass the league, you might have gotten more” and 2) review team’s needs around the league to see if I am missing opportunities to get a good deal

Ron Shandler (RonShandler.com, @RonShandler): I see two issues here: 1) What one person considers a lowball may be a fair offer from someone else. We all value players differently, sometimes VERY differently, so I always try to keep that in mind. 2) We may consider ourselves the most intelligent baseball fans and most astute evaluators of talent, but orchestrating trades is a completely different skill, and some of us are just lousy at it. Salesmanship requires an understanding of human behavior that is often foreign to pure analytical types. So if I receive what I consider a lowball offer, I try to understand who is placing the offer, and even if I perceive it as a “he’s in a rush and just threw something out,” I’ll respond with something to redirect it (after cursing under my breath for 10 minutes), without being condescending. Sometimes that gets things back on track, sometimes it doesn’t. But nothing ventured, nothing gained.

Mike Gianella (Baseball Prospectus, @MikeGianella): I usually ignore them. As Ron points out beauty (or ugliness in this case, I guess) is in the eye of the beholder, but if I think an offer is awful right out of the gate I will politely decline. My counteroffer will probably be seen as unreasonable, since the person who made the initial offer and I won’t be close on what constitutes “value”. After a lopsided trade is announced, I make a mental note about what appealed to the person who got ripped off and try to capitalize on their perception of value in the future.

Ray Flowers (Fantasy Guru Elite, @BaseballGuys): I think any offer should be considered a starting point for a discussion. I have sent out a “bad” first offer with a note saying something like ‘I’m interested in X and wondering what you would be looking for in exchange’ in order to let the other owner know I’m interested their player, but not intending the first offer to be accepted. Most of the time, I just get a no response, leading me to think that folks don’t actually read my comments they just see the offer and discount it, so be careful how you send your offers to others. It has also been my experience that when there is a disagreement, people just view the players differently. Some folks understand that and try to work around it, some folks get pissed off at it and think you to be a moron. I would also say, that if someone is willing to deal, I will always listen. You never know who they believe in or who they don’t. If you stop listening, you might be closing the door on a potential deal that you would benefit from in the end.

Jason Collette (Rotowire, @jasoncollette): I just try to keep the dialogue going most of the time. Honestly depends on my schedule. I don’t do trade reviews from my phone (too many lessons learned/burned) so I wait to get to my laptop to look into things.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): I usually briefly explain why the deal is not a fit for me, and I leave player value out of that. I’ll take a $9 player for a $15 player if it helps me in the categories. Like others here, if I see a potential legit trade, I’ll offer it, but my experience has been that guys who throw lowballs aren’t typically interested in legit deals. They want to “win” trades.

Dr. Roto (Scout Fantasy, @DrRoto): Honestly, it gets me really angry when i get a lowball offer. I want to type back, “I’m Dr. Roto, why would I EVER do that ridiculous deal?!” Then I cool off and write back calmly, “Thanks for the offer, but it doesn’t work for me. Maybe we can deal again soon. Never burn a bridge with a trading partner if you don’t have to.

D.J. Short (Rotoworld, @djshort): It would be easy to respond back expressing anger that such an offer would be proposed, but I usually just reject and don’t give an explanation. It’s usually not worth it. As others have said, perhaps dealing with that particular owner will come in handy down the road, so there’s no need for creating bad blood. But I do take a mental note from that experience as far as player valuation. In regard to seeing lopsided trades being announced, it’s sometimes hard to grade in a vacuum since owners have different category needs and motivations. Most of the leagues I play in are very competitive and there’s no room for funny business, so I try not to be too judgy about it at this point.

Scott Wilderman (OnRoto): I’ve played with a guy who always starts with an insulting lowball offer — but I know it’s business, not personal. If I’m at all interested in any of the players proposed, I’ll counter with a deal equally lopsided in my favor — it’s important that ‘fair and reasonable’ be mid-way between the two starting points, or you can get sucked into subconsciously thinking the other guy moved more than you did during the bargaining.

Zach Steinhorn (CreativeSports, @zachsteinhorn): I get annoyed by lowball trade offers, especially when the owner doesn’t include a message explaining why the trade could make sense for both of us. If there isn’t an accompanying note, I’ll usually just reject the offer without countering and would be hesitant to spend any more time dealing with that owner in the future. If there is a message, it shows that there was actually some thought put into the offer and if I’m interested in any of his/her players, I’ll see if we can work something out. Lopsided trades bother me as well but I rarely publicly question them, especially in industry leagues where I have a lot of respect for the knowledge of my peers and trust that there was no collusion.

AJ Mass (ESPN, @AJMass): If you’re going to allow trading in your league, you have to allow trading. So, when one manager makes a deal where it appears he’s gotten fleeced by another, so be it. As long as it’s not a case of clear collusion, who’s to say it won’t be the “fleeced guy” laughing at the end of the season. As for getting a lowball offer — “You have Mike Trout. I have Jeff Erickson’s autograph. Let’s deal.” — just respond “No thanks” and move on. So long as it doesn’t become a daily nuisance — “What if I throw in a Todd Zola selfie?” — then you just let it go.

Andy Behrens (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @andybehrens): If an offer made to me isn’t a reasonable conversation starter, I’ll reject without counter or comment. I’m not going to any effort in a trade conversation if the other party won’t put anything interesting on the table. As for lopsided deals in my leagues, I really only care about deals that seem obviously collusive. I’m fine with the idea that deals are going to have perceived winners and losers. Sometimes a fantasy manager actually has to take a small loss on a trade in order to address an area of need. As long as both parties in a deal are acting in good faith, I won’t complain.

Al Melchior (The Athletic, @almelchiorbb): If I get a lowball offer, I usually decline without comment. I may look at the roster to see if there is a reasonable counteroffer I can make that would fill a need for me. As for lopsided deals in my leagues, I rarely do more than take note of it and file it away for future reference.

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): I reject the offer without comment, but realize that I have now learned which player(s) this owner is looking to trade for. At the very least, I will then look at his team to see if I should make a counter offer involving the player(s) originally asked for. When a lopsided trade is announced, it’s frustrating. There’s nothing that can be done, but at least you’ve spotted the sucker! So I become a little more aggressive trying to trade with that owner, hoping I will be the next beneficiary of his poor player evaluation skills.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis): I find lowball trades insulting. I typically leave the comment of “I could not hit the reject trade button fast enough” on the trade request. I then maycounter with my own lowball trade offer, just to emphasize my point. I love trade negotiations, but don’t waste my time with trades that do nothing to benefit both teams.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Note to Ron – I’m sitting right here. Jokes aside, I’m up front concerning my trouble with negotiating. It’s irrational, but saying “yes” to someone normally requires saying “no” to several and that’s tough for me. In general, I think there’s a fine line between considering an offer insulting and taking it personally. It’s fine to consider an offer insulting, that’s just the way some operate. The key is not taking it personally. You’re not the only one getting offers of that nature. Everyone in the league is. If you were the only one, it would be personal. Some just believe in a lowball opening salvo, then negotiating an equitable deal. In this instance, I may pursue talks if I sense something can be worked out. Some start low because they think they are supposed to and others aren’t confident enough to start with something on a more even keel. In these cases, I try to figure out who it is they want from me (it’s usually apparent) and counter with something more reasonable.

Tout Wars Free Agency Bidding Recap – Sunday, June 9

Following is the latest weekly report summarizing the top free agent bids in each of the five Tout Wars leagues, with links to the detailed bidding action following our 8 p.m. ET deadline each Sunday evening. All prices are on a $1000 base.

After you scan the detail below, please join our live chat, starting at 9 p.m. ET Sunday evening, to discuss these results with Todd Zola of Mastersball and other Touts.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

Mike Podhorzer was the high bidder this week, dropping $77 on Mac Williamson. The oft-injured slugger was released by the Giants after coming up short in his latest audition. Williamson is a disciple of the launch angle revolution, but injuries and failure to make consistent contact have interrupted his opportunities to demonstrate if it he’ll join those displaying an increase in power. Williamson should see decent playing time with Mitch Haniger on the shelf.

The next highest bid came courtesy of Glenn Colton and Rock Wolf as they needed an arm to replace Domingo German. The dynamic duo snagged Brandon Workman for 27 units. The Red Sox don’t have a traditional closer with Workman curving his way into some saves.

The only other double digit bids were offered by league leader Jason Collette who dropped $16 on Tommy Milone and Colton/Wolf who doubled down on save speculation with $12 on Miguel Castro.

Review all 6/9 AL bids here.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Quiet week in the Senior Circuit with only six purchases. The top bid was a $75 expenditure on Kevin Cron. The corner infielder could be in line for more playing time after going deep twice this weekend.

Lenny Melnick decided $23 was a fair price for Drew Pomeranz. The veteran lefty is coming off his best start of the season, holding the potent Dodgers scoreless over five frames, fanning seven with just one walk.

Review all 6/9 NL bids here.

MIXED AUCTION

Scott Swanay hopes to fortify his lead adding Colin Moran for $57. Moran should continue to see regular time at the hot corner as Cole Tucker was sent back to the farm, clearing shortstop for the recently returning Jung Ho Kang.

The second highest winning bid was $53, submitted by Zack Steinhorn on Lourdes Gurriel Jr. The utility man has been playing a lot of left field lately, slashing a robust .314/.364/.667 since being recalled May 23.

Starting pitching dominated the rest of the bidding with Adrian Sampson, Freddy Peralta, Anibal Sanchez, Framber Valdez, Jalen Beeks, Michael Wacha, Jon Duplantier and Jason Vargas all finding new homes.

Review all 6/9 Mixed Auction bids here.

MIXED DRAFT

D.J. Short was the big spender, topping the bidding with $70 on Framber Valdez. Valdez is needed with Corbin Martin sent back to Triple-A for more seasoning.

Perry Van Hook was next, offering $43 for Jerad Eickhoff. Van Hook also took a $13 shot on Rockies rookie Peter Lambert.

Adam Ronis hoped to upgrade his pitching with a $34 bid on Ryan Yarbrough. Last season’s primary beneficiary of following an opener, Yarbrough seems to have regained his form after a time-out in Triple-A. Ronis also snagged Anthony Desclafani for $23 as he needs to replace Carlos Carrasco and Matt Strahm.

Review all 6/9 Mixed Draft bids here.

HEAD TO HEAD

Ian Kahn took advantage of James Paxton’s availability, besting two other triple-digit bids with a healthy $276 purchase. The losing bids were $237 and $188.

Clay Link aims to fortify his lead with a $57 buy of Zach Plesac while Ryan Bloomfield hopes the recent surge from Brian Dozier if is a harbinger of things to come.

Review all 6/9 Head to Head bids here.

Tout Daily Picks: A Thor Spot

Here’s the picks the Touts are counting on in tonight’s Tout Daily DFS Contest.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola)

Pitcher: Masahiro Tanaka – This feels like a trap game and goes against my preference of using DFS pitchers at home, so I’ll likely hedge it in a different contest.

Hitter: Braden Bishop – Platoon edge on Wade Miley, leaging off, essentially a free square.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis)

Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard – Even the Marvel Comics character Thor was once stripped of his powers, but managed to regain his strength and glory. I see the same for the Mets equivalent in Noah “Thor” Syndergaard tonight aginst a weak San Francisco Giants hitting team. He’s priced moderately cheap at $9,600 and has extra incentive tonight as he opposes Madison Bumgarner. Here is to Thor raising the hammer tonight.

Hitter: Christian Yelich – Yelich let me down last week with a late scratch, so he owe’s me one. He has 4 home runs in his past 10 games. He’s not cheap at $5,900, but worth the investment at home against Miami’s Pablo Lopez.

Howard Bender (Fantasy Alarm, @RotobuzzGuy)

Pitcher: Blake Snell – If you’re going to pay up for pitching, I’ll take Snell against a Tigers team that struggles a bunch against left-handed pitching and are striking out over 26% of the time against them.

Hitter: Ramon Laureano – A modest bargain on DK, but a great value on FD. He’s on a 15-game hit streak with eight doubles, two home runs, four RBI, six runs scored and a stolen base.

Anthony Aniano (Rotoballer, @AAnianoFantasy)

Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard – For $9,600 I have a pitcher who strikes out 1 out of every 4 batters he faces and the Giants strike out just under 9 times per game. The Giants are 27th in runs per game and 28th in OPS. Advantage Syndergaard.

Hitter: Austin Riley – 8 homers, 22 RBIs and an OPS of 1.083 for $4,900 and he faces Brault, a lefty, this evening in Pittsburgh. Versus lefties Riley has 7 hits in 18 ABs including 5 home runs. He’s a must play.

Gene McCaffrey (The Athletic, @WiseGuyGene)

Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard – If he’s ever going to dominate it’s at home against the Giants – and I bet the Mets let him pitch close to a, whaddya call it, complete game.

Hitter: Manny Machado – Looks like he’s heating up, have to take the chance at $3800.

Tim Heaney (Rotowire, ESPN, @TeamHeaney)

Pitcher: Chris Paddack – The Phillies’ lineup looks slightly less daunting without Andrew McCutchen (knee), and Paddack is nails at home with a 1.42 ERA.

Hitter: Elias Diaz – A catcher batting fifth is typically a value I’d chase, especially at $3,500, and Diaz’s career .344 wOBA versus southpaws typically makes him a near instant click in those matchups.

Michael Florio (NFL Network, @MichaelFFlorio)

Pitcher: Blake Snell – Blake Snell is the biggest favorite on the slate, plus he is facing a Tigers team that has the sixth highest strikeout rate against lefties (26.4%) and rank 22nd in terms of wOBA (.305) against south paws. You have to pay, but it is wise to pay up for Snell tonight.

Hitter: Ronald Acuna – Acuna is leading off for the Braves agaist lefty Steven Brault. Acuna has hit .302 with a .340 ISO against lefties, plus Brault has been anything but intimidating this season. At only $4,500, Acuna feels like a great value here.

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner)

Pitcher: Max Fried – So many good pitchers on the slate tonight, you can’t help but pick a couple good ones. I’ll go with Fried at a relatively paltry $7800 vs. a Pirates lineup without Josh Bell and Gregory Polanco.

Hitter: Manny Machado – At $3800? This must be a misprint.

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson)

Pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez – Looking to pay down to afford some better bats. E-Rod has produced around 20 DK points in four of his last starts.

Hitter: All the Houston – Astros as much as possible against the worst starter on the board.

Tout Table: Who ya got?

More homers end of season, Derek Dietrich or Daniel Vogelbach? More steals end of season, Jarrod Dyson or Mallex Smith? Higher 5×5 rank end of season, Christian Yelich or Cody Bellinger?

Michael Stein (Fantasy Judgment, @FantasyJudgment): I am impressed with the imrpovements Dietrich has made this year so I think he will hit more HR’s than Vogelbach for the rest of the season. Dietrich also plays in a better offensive ballpark and should see regular playing time. Mallex Smith will have more stolen bases than Dyson. In terms of Yelich vs. Bellinger, I will go with the reigning MVP who could be in line for a repeat this year. Yelich will ultimately out-perform Bellinger in all categories as Bellinger’s batting average returns to earth.

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): This seems a philosophical question about when do we adjust projections toward current results, and by how much. I’d still say Vogelbach, Mallex, and Yelich (which I would have said before the season started).

Jason Collette (Rotowire, @jasoncollette): Both are in my Collette Calls column this week. Dietrick is YOKED (https://pbs.twimg.com/media/D71l65eX4AAlUs6?format=jpg) this year, and he is crushing the baseball. His Barrel % is up three times as much as previous seasons, his exit velo is a career-high, as is his launch angle. The move from spacious Marlins Park to cozy GABP certainly helps his cause as well. He gets more games against Pittsburgh, and plays in the hot summer heat in Cincinnati — all conducive to another Adam Duvall-type season

Derek Carty (RotoGrinders, @DerekCarty): THE BAT is biting *hard* into Dietrich, who has improved in every conceivable way after an amazing shift in context moving from Miami to Cincy. Dietrich: 22 HR to Vogy’s 15. It has Mallex with 18 SBs and Dyson with 14 SBs, although that’s partially because the FanGraphs Depth Charts give an extra 70 PA to Mallex. Yelich and Bellinger both project fantastically now, but Yelich comes out on top by a couple bucks

Glenn Colton (Fantasy Alarm, @GlennColton1): I vote for Dietrich over Vogelbach. Cubs gave up on Vogelbach and that worries me. Plus, players of that physique are more likely to wear down. I like Mallex over Dyson as age for steals guys is a huge issue. As to Yelich v. Belinger, Yelich has done it for a full season, Bellinger has not so you gotta go with Yelich but I would be happy with either!

Tim McCullough (Baseball Prospectus, @TimsTenz): I’m going for Dietrich who’s taken a step forward after we saw his power really blossom last year. I think Dyson’s best years are past him now and Mallex seems to steal in bunches. Neither are hitting particularly well right now but I expect Mallex to start figuring it out. Bellinger just seems too locked in not to be a four category stud. It’s going to be close but I’m sticking with Bellinger to keep up his torrid hittting.

Matt Modica (The Athletic, @ctmbaseball): It’s Dietrich for me. He has hit some prolific homers but right field at Great American Ballpark is perfectly tailored for him and should add some easy homers to his total. I will go with Smith over Dyson because I believe Seattle will give him every opportunity and more at bats rest of the season. Bellinger is a burgeoning beast but Yelich is a better pure hitter and base runner. Also, Miller Park versus Chavez Ravine.

Anthony Aniano (Rotoballer, @AAnianoFantasy): Derek Dietrich should finish with more home runs. Playing in that ballpark provides an advantage that Vogelbach can’t duplicate. His line drives of the past have turned into fly balls which he’s hitting at a career high 52%. That should continue. Mallex Smith will finish with more SBs. Younger, more playing time, and a better hitter over the rest of the season. Smith should be fine. Bellinger will outperform Yelich in 5×5. More HRs, RBIs and a higher batting average will make up for the stolen base advantage that Yelich has. Honestly though, you can’t nitpick over two players who will finish in the top 5.

Ray Flowers (Fantasy Guru Elite, @BaseballGuys): I worry about playing time when the Reds get healthy for DD. Also worry about him getting plunked for his ‘stare at it’ ways when he hits a big fly. There’s also the stupid high HR/FB. I’ll take Vogelbach. For the wheels, give me Smith. A better overall hitter, that gives Smith the playing time advantage the rest of the season. I’ll take Yelich. Bellinger has such a massive battle with the regression monster to deal with moving forward.

Ryan Hallam (Fighting Chance Fantasy, @FightingChance): I want to say Dietrich here, I have to believe that the Reds will continue to find regular at-bats for him even when Scooter Gennett is healthy. Vogelbach has a more secured place in the lineup, but I’m going to stick with the flashy guy and say Dietrich. For speed it is easy for me with Mallex Smith. If Jarrod Dyson could get on base better, I like his base stealing ability but he has shown a real knack for making outs in his career. Lastly, I like Cody Bellinger much better, as I am tired of watching Christian Yelich beat up on my beloved Cardinals, but in a 5X5 scenario, I do believe Yelich will be the better player. Bellinger can’t possibly keep up this pace he is on, and while he may have more home runs at seasons end, I do think Yelich will get him with batting average and stolen bases while keeping RBI close enough.

Phil Hertz (BaseballHQ, @prhz50): Vogelbach over Dietrich – the former will benefit as vets get traded; the latter might be traded to a place where abs may become scarce. Smith over Dyson – he was the clear choice before the season and is starting to heat up. Bellinger over Yelich – truly this was a coin flip for me.

Mike Sheets (ESPN, @MikeASheets): Give me Dietrich, Smith and Yelich. With Dietrich, it’s mostly about the park, though I do wonder how all of the playing time shakes out once Scooter Gennett returns. I just believe in Smith’s skill set more at this point. The fact that the Mariners already sent him down once means they could very well do it again, but Dyson has started just three of Arizona’s last six games and will continue to platoon. I love Bellinger, but I think Yelich has the safer floor and Miller Park is an elite park for his left-handed power.

Clay Link (Rotowire, @claywlink): I think it’s Dietrich, but it’s close. I think Vogelbach’s playing time is more secure. Once Scooter Gennett is back, Gennett will be at second base almost every day for the Reds, and Nick Senzel will be in center, so Dietrich may become part of an outfield rotation with Jesse Winker, Yasiel Puig and Jose Peraza. Peraza has been starting in left field against southpaws — just more moving parts. Mallex Smith over Jarrod Dyson, as Smith has a two-steal lead despite the time spent in the minors and Dyson just doesn’t have the track record (never once reaching 400 PA). Yelich over Bellinger.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis): I was fortunate to be able to pick up Dietrich off of the waiver wire in two of my leagues. He’s going to not only get more playing time, but should remain in the starting lineup, regardless if and when Scooter Gannett returns from the IL. Dietrich plays in a better hitting park than Vogelbach. Mallex Smith over Jarrod Dyson as age plays into the equation here. Yellich over Bellinger as Yellich has done produced at this level for 1 1/2 seasons where Bellinger could still have a 2nd half swoon.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): I’ll go with Dietrich over Vogelbach, primarily because we know that Dietrich can maintain a healthy AVG/OBP over the course of a season, but we don’t yet know that about Vogelbach, which could conceivably cut into his playing time as the season progresses. The Dyson/Smith choice is the hardest for me – if Smith is still getting regular AB with a batting average below the Mendoza line, that suggests to me the Mariners are more committed to him as an everyday player than the D’backs are to Dyson, so I’ll go with Smith. I’ll take Bellinger over Yelich – Bellinger could hit at the Mendoza line for the rest of the season (which he won’t) and still wind up the season with an average of ~.270, which tells you what kind of a season he’s having. He should finish the season with a higher average than Yelich, and even if Yelich hits a few more home runs and steals a few more bases, that won’t be enough to overcome the batting average gap.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Call me oontrarian but I’m going Vogelbach for HR and Dyson for steals. Dietrich is such a fun story, but his reversion is so drastic, it will be hard to maintain. Pitchers should find a hole somewhere and exploit it. Seattle has cut bait with Mallex Smith once, I can see it happening again. Dyson is usually exposed playing regularly but I think he’ll hang in there are continue to run. Steals are worth so much compared to homers, giving Yelich the edge.

Tout Wars Free Agency Bidding Recap – Sunday, June 2

Following is the latest weekly report summarizing the top free agent bids in each of the five Tout Wars leagues, with links to the detailed bidding action following our 8 p.m. ET deadline each Sunday evening. All prices are on a $1000 base.

After you scan the detail below, please join our live chat, starting at 9 p.m. ET Sunday evening, to discuss these results with Todd Zola of Mastersball and other Touts.

American League

It was another busy week in AL Tout, with 23 free agents added to team rosters this period.

Leading the way across all five leagues at $145 is Delino DeShields, acquired by Jeff Erickson of RotoWire. The outfielder has either been on the IL or in Triple-A for half of the season to-date, but with the injury to Joey Gallo, some at-bats could be had.

The Seattle bullpen lottery continues to draw more money, with the latest a $53 winning bid on Anthony Bass by Colton and the Wolfman. The 31-year old recently opted out of his Triple-A deal with the Reds and scored a big-league deal with the M’s. Everything about Seattle is uncertain, so why not take a shot?

Lefty Devin Smeltzer took over Michael Pineda’s rotation spot (injured again!) with the Twins and spun seven masterful innings in his MLB debut against a very strong Milwaukee lineup. While there were multiple bids, the winner was just $45, a nice pickup by Larry Schechter.

Review all 6/2 AL bids here.

National League

The Sunday (or is it Monday?) trade of Jay Bruce from Seattle to Philadelphia was the major news for this waiver period. The NL East returnee was listed among eligible minor leaguers by our stats provider, onRoto. However, the bids for him were not yet accepted. A ruling is pending on whether the trade is yet official, and that may also be tying up some contingent bids (like mine).

Fernando Rodney has changed homes again. This time, the straight arrow fittingly joins the bullpen mess in our Nation’s Capital. Lenny Melnick submitted a $24 winning bid.

Down in Miami, Martin Prado has had a season to forget. However, the utilityman is still receiving regular at-bats from manager Don Mattingly and that was enough to draw $18 of Phil Hertz’ cash.

Just eight others were acquired in NL in this quiet week of bidding, with none going for more than $6

Review all 6/2 NL bids here.

Mixed Auction

26 players received bids this week in Mixed Tout.

Top dollar was the $108 paid for Detroit’s Niko Goodrum by Gene McCaffrey. The second baseman is coming off a huge week during which he batted .370 with two home runs and five RBI. Gene won’t get those stats, though. For the season, Goodrum raised his batting average to .235 and doubled his home run output.

At $79, Michael Rathburn submitted the best offer for Baltimore’s D.J. Stewart. The newly promoted outfielder may get a chance for regular playing time with Chris Davis on the shelf. The former first rounder, who was also up for 40 games last season, has a decent all-around offensive profile.

Smeltzer fetched a $64 winning offer from Bret Sayre of Baseball Prospectus.

Review all 6/2 Mixed Auction bids here.

Mixed Draft

While 22 players found new homes this week in Mixed Draft, bidding was muted, with no player fetching as much as $70.

At $69, Smeltzer joined the roster of Tom Kessenich of the NFBC. Kessenich also picked up Jose Suarez for $48. The lefty, the Angels’ no. 5 prospect, made his MLB debut for the Halos on Sunday and picked up a win over Seattle. Suarez allowed three runs in 5 2/3 innings on five hits, three walks and four strikeouts and could stay around for the struggling Angels.

Of course, Steven Brault of the Pirates joined the roster of Captain Hook, aka Perry, for $37. The left-hander held the Reds scoreless on three hits in 5 1/3 frames this past week, but still carries a 5.87 ERA this season.

Review all 6/2 Mixed Draft bids here.

Head to Head

Just 14 players were acquired in the Head to Head league this period, with only one going for more than $25.

$74 was the winning offer by Ian Kahn for Baltimore third baseman Renato Nunez. After a great start in April, the 25-year old slumped for much of May before turning it back on over the last two weeks with a whopping eight home runs and 16 RBI.

Bryan Reynolds of the Pirates joined the roster of AJ Mass for the aforementioned $25. The rookie outfielder arrived with a bang a little over a month ago and continues to hit, with a .345/.406/.569 slash line and 17 RBI and 20 runs scored in 37 games.

Dr. Roto spent a total of $43 on two NL Central pitchers working their way back from injury. Jimmy Nelson ($22) has returned to the Brewers, while St. Louis’ Alex Reyes ($21) is at Triple-A, but is still having consistency issues.

Review all 6/2 Head to Head bids here.

Tout Daily Picks: Boyds will be Boyds

It’s a clean slate as tonight marks the first week of Period 3. Here’s who the Touts are looking at to get the next segment off on the right foot.

Dan Strafford (FNTSY Radio, @DanStrafford)

Pitcher: Dylan Bundy – Bundy’s price is a bit elevated on DraftKings but should serve as a good pivot off of Nick Pivetta (remember the preseason hype for NP and now his elevated K% in minors should help that again). While Bundy can struggle mightily with the long ball, he gets a very solid matchup against Detroit. Their active roster ranks in the bottom half of the league in ISO agaisnt RHP and have a K% of over 26% on the season which is good (bad?) enough for second overall.

Hitter: David Dahl – Dahl’s price point at Coors Field stands out as a great discount. If priced as a typical Coors hitter there might be some reasoning for really diving into a bit of struggles with K’s on the year. But he stands to be fairly highly owned and with good reason. On the year he sports an ISO of .188 while Kelly has outperformed his underlying numbers, especially on his four seamer to date.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis)

Pitcher: Matthew Boyd – Over the past 10 games pitched, Body has impressed with an ERA of 2.92 and a WHIP of 0.99. He takes on the Detroit Tigers on the road tonight. Salaried at $10,300.

Hitter: Austin Riley – Riley has hit successfully in 9 of his first 11 games since being called up by the Braves. He is hitting .341 with 5 home runs and 14 RBI. He’s batting 6th tonight and faces Washington SP Strasburg at home. Salaried at $4,000.

Howard Bender (Fantasy Alarm, @RotobuzzGuy)

Pitcher: Marco Gonzales – Love the price here which is likely surpressed by his lack of strikeouts. But he’s facing a Texas team that is posting a .286 wOBA with a 27.4% strikeout rate over the past week and strikes out nearly 29% of the time against southpaws. Not to mention the most dangerous hitters on the Rangers are left-handed and lefty bats are posting just a .280 wOBA against Gonzales.

Hitter: Max Kepler – Why not go with one of the hottest hitters in baseball (.500 with 3 HR, 10 RBI, 1 SB over last 7 games) leading off for the hottest-hitting team in baseball? Zach Davies has struggled against left-handed hitting since he returned and Kepler is sporting a .940 OPS against right-handed pitching this season.

Anthony Aniano (Rotoballer, @AAnianoFantasy)

Pitcher: Max Fried – For $8,100 Fried is pitching to a 2.88 ERA and 8.1 Ks/9. In his last 17IP he has 17Ks to only 5 earned runs. Washington is currently 19th is runs per game and OPS.

Hitter: Alex Bregman – Bregman for $4,800 versus Jon Lester. For his career Bregman is a .300 hitter versus lefties with 21 home runs.

Gene McCaffrey (The Athletic, @WiseGuyGene)

Pitcher: Max Fried – Bargain priced home start, Fried keeps showing that he’s the real deal.

Hitter: David Dahl – If he’s super-popular tonight, well, he should be. Sometimes you just have to beat the crowd somewhere else.

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson)

Pitcher: Dylan Bundy – For thrills-seekers only. The last time I used Bundy it was in the infamous KC home blowup, so I’m playing with a chemical fire here, but he gives me savings with K upside against a bad lineup. Plus I’m guessing none, er, few of my esteemed colleagues will opt to use him. Also, I’m fading Fried because the Nats hit lefties well, and because it should be hot in ATL.

Hitter: Renato Nuñez – Nuñez has a .998 OPS against LHP’s, and an .874 OPS at home vs. .661 on the road. Even though the opposing starter is Matthew Boyd, I still like the matchup.

Tim Heaney (Rotowire, ESPN, @Tim_Heaney)

Pitcher: Rich Hill – Trying to shift a little bit but stay within the top tier of starters. This Mets lineup can do well against lefties, but Hill should breeze through this one at home.

Hitter: Niko Goodrum – Leading off against Dylan Bundy means at least two chances at the talented but homer-prone starter — or, better yet, more cracks at this bullpen.

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner)

Pitcher: Trevor Richards – Richards has been good against bad teams and bad against good teams. He gets one of the majors’ worst offenses (the Giants) at home.

Hitter: Lorenzo Cain – The Brewers face the Twins’ Devin Smeltzer, who’s making his MLB debut. I’m banking on their leadoff guy getting 5 or more at-bats.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola)

Pitcher: Rich Hill – Mets offer decent strikeout potential and It never rains in California, but girl, don’t they warn ya? It pours, man, it pours — but not tonight.

Hitter: Rafael Devers – I’m a self-admitted wuss and avoid weather games like the plague. That said, my sticking my head out the window forecast for Boston (I’m maybe 25 miles west) says the game will play and Devers is dialed in.

Charlie Wiegert (CDM Sports, @GFFantasySports)

Pitcher: Matt Boyd – He’s been pitching great, just wish Chris Davis was in the lineup to get 4 K’s!

Hitter: Freddie Freeman – He’s been raking lately and will take Strasburg deep tonight!

Tout Table: Team Assessment

This week’s question is self explanatory:

Given the diligent manager stays on top of their team all season, Memorial Day Weekend is a natural checkpoint. What tips do you have when assessing your roster?

Lenny Melnick (LennyMelnickFantasySports, @LennyMelnick): If you’re 10 HR or so behind the pack at 1/4 pole, don’t wait to Mid yr to try and catch up..You need to be 10 better just to catch the pack..Best way to improve any % is addition by subtraction..

Charlie Wiegert (CDM Sports, @GFFantasySports): We’re a little past 1/4th of the season, don’t panic yet. This is a good time to access you’re strengths and weaknesses, but take note that perhaps injuries have caused some weaknesses to. If you drafted a Trea Turner, and your sucking at SB’s, that will change by July. Look to trade for guys off to a bad start, knowing they’ll come around; Matt Carpenter, Bryce Harper, etc.

Ray Flowers (Fantasy Guru Elite, @BaseballGuys): You need to be honest with your team – what it is or isn’t. Now is the time to start targeting categories. You should have a feel about how your team is actually going to produce, so check the standings. Where are you weak? Should you make a move to add a speedster? Maybe a closer? Starting to think about your place in the individual categories and how you can improve is a great thing to start to do at this time.

AJ Mass (ESPN, @AJMass): By now you should have an idea of your per-week pace compared to the rest of the teams in your league. Now, if you’re 10 HR behind the next team ahead of you in the standings, that may not seem like a huge deal to catch up simply by improving by a single HR per week. However, if 10 HR equals 20 percent of your current total, then it is indeed a huge deal. It’s figuring out whether or not simple improvement by your current roster is enough to overcome deficits or if a category is indeed a lost cause that can now be punted in order to allocate your resources elsewhere which will help focus your energies in the right direction.

Paul Sporer (Fangraphs, ESPN Fantasy Sports, @Sporer): Don’t give up on the ratios no matter how bad they might look. This has been a cause célèbre (I doubt I’m using that phrase properly) for our own Todd Zola and he’s so right. The key here, unlike other categories, is that not only can you improve, but your opponents can also come back to you. Keep grinding. It’s way, way, way too early to punt any ratio.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis): Thoroughly access where you are in comparison to your opponents stats, access your team’s strength’s and weaknesses, and don’t punt any categories. Make trades where there is the ability to increase your stats, while potentially reducing other league manager’s stats. Grind, grind, grind!

Anthony Perri (Fantistics, @Anthony_Perri): The end of this month marks a third of the season, Take a look at all of your players and their underlying indicators. There are quite a few players every year that have been unlucky, start with BABIP for hitters and strikeout rates. For pitchers that are underperforming, have they lost anything on their fastball, how are their swinging strike rates in comparison to last year, their LOB%? These will help you decide what players need to go, and what players should remain on your roster.

Rudy Gamble (Razzball, @RudyGamble): In leagues that allow trades, this is a good time to identify teams with inverse needs (e.g. speed for power) as enough time has gone by for ‘draft day love’ to have dissipated. Now is also when FAAB buys should start taking category needs into account vs best player available.

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner): The one-third mark makes it easy to see where you stand in the Roto counting categories, so I’ll look at those and adjust my expectations depending on what injuries I have and when those injured players are coming back. It’s a good time to explore trade options as well to bolster the areas where you know you need help. In keeper leagues, competing for a title may already be a lost cause, so it could be time to start thinking about trading short-term assets for potential keepers. In redraft leagues, there’s still time to get back into contention.

Al Melchior (FNTSY Radio, @almelchiorbb): It’s a good time to check in on the categorical standings, but I also want to get a sense of where I have real surpluses and deficits by position. For both purposes, I want to get a good sense of whose stats look like flukes, both in the good and the bad sense. A sort by wOBA-xwOBA is a good place to start. For example, my Tout Wars mixed auction team appears to be weak at OF, but both Kole Calhoun and Christin Stewart have underachieved their xwOBA by more than 25 points. I need to look closer at their peripherals, but I may be better off addressing other positional needs at this time.

Glenn Colton (Fantasy Alarm, @GlennColton1): Of course, checking categories and needs is important. However, the most important thing to do at memorial day is to look for players on your team overperforming who you might be able to sell high and players around the league underperforming you might be able to buy low. Also assess whether you should be hoarding FAAB or spending now — that is very team specific.

Anthony Aniano (Rotoballer, @AAnianoFantasy): In roto leagues at this point of the season try to fill needs in the standings and not positions in your lineup. If your 2B is not performing consider what was thought to be his best asset, speed, power, etc.. and find a way to improve what he is not providing from whatever position you can find it.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): What everyone has said: Assess your categories realistically to see if you have significant surpluses or deficits that might become trade possibilities. One thing that hasn’t been mentioned is to keep in mind the added production you will get from your injured or reserve guys (or Farm players if you have them) when you are able to get them onto your active roster.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Following up on PD’s comment, with all the recent call-ups, some teams may have positional or statistical excess they’re willing to peddle instead of reserving or even releasing. It could pay dividends to find matches. Something else I like to do at this juncture is look at WHIP compared to ERA. Normally, they end up within three standings places. If they’re further apart, plan on ERA moving towards WHIP. This helps set a reasonable expectation for points not currently accounted for in the standings.

Ryan Hallam (Fighting Chance Fantasy, @FightingChance): Memorial Day is a big weekend for me in fantasy baseball. While I am willing to make moves on maybe the bottom five guys on my roster, I try to remain patient on a lot of the rest of it. Memorial Day is the perfect time to reflect on your draft, see where you are, and see where you can make the moves to improve your team to make the push for the next portion of the season. Now is the time to pull the trigger on guys like Joey Votto who just look completely lost and have two months of the year under their belt.

Peter Kreutzer (Ask Rotoman, Fantasy Baseball Guide, @kroyte): The biggest mistake is to underestimate your ability to bounce back. Giving up a category if it helps you gain more points isn’t a bad thing, but just because you’re behind by quite a bit doesn’t mean you’re done in any category. For one thing, some of the guys who stunk in the first quarter are going to be a lot better. At this point it’s good to be tactical, but unless you see a path to winning (or money) that comes from a radical move, playing the waiver wire and improving your pitching are potentially more productive than locking in a loss in a category. Picking off slow starters for modest prices can help a lot. Going big isn’t always being bold.

Ariel Cohen (CBS Sports, @ATCNY): To add a point not covered yet in the conversation – Take a look not just at where you are by category, but also in how close the categories are. If you are in the middle of the pack in SB and HR, but HR is more tight than SB – HRs start to become more meaningful for you, and you may want to turn your focus on it. In player valuation – that’s the theory behind SGP, isn’t it?

Mike Gianella (Baseball Prospectus, @MikeGianella): The best tip I can give is pay attention to your roster all season long. Memorial Day shouldn’t be a tie to suddenly look at your roster and say “oh my God, I need power!” This is the time of year when some people do believe its’ “time to look at trades” so it’s when I’ll start sending out feelers to those types of fantasy managers and take their temperature.

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): We’re still relatively early in the season, so you can make bigger standings moves then you think with a big day. This also means that it’s probably easier to move up (or down) in the ratio categories than it might seem. Be objective when reviewing your players and avoid the temptation to keep the faith that obvious overperformers (Jeff Samardzija & Zach Davies have significantly outperformed their SIERA marks) will continue performing at their current level. Save your ratios by jettisoning these ticking time bombs before they unleash their damage on your roster.

Ray Murphy (BaseballHQ, @RayHQ): With 70% of the season left, I’m still primarily interested in identifying any areas where my team is away from the pack in a category (to the good or bad). If I’m within the clustered center of the pack, that spot remains highly variable and something I might look to fortify via trade. Where I’m out of the pack, those are the assets I might be able to offer in trade. But worrying about whether I’m 6th or 8th in a category separated by one night’s performance is just noise in the evaluation process.

Jon Hegglund (Baseball Prospectus, @JonHegglund): I like to do deep dives on a few of my key players who are underperforming to see if I should bet on positive regression or if their performances are reflective of underlying skill changes. It’s important to take action, but it’s equally important to not cut or trade a player who may be ready to bounce back.

Zach Steinhorn (Baseball Prospectus, @zachsteinhorn): We are now at the point in the season where league standings are no longer completely meaningless, so Memorial Day Weekend is a good time to closely examine each category to get a clear idea as to your strengths and weaknesses. Explore trade possibilities but don’t simply make a trade for the sake of making a trade. The waiver wire can often be the better route to take when looking to improve your roster. And don’t get discouraged if you are 10+ homers or 25+ RBIs away from gaining points. All it takes is a hot couple of weeks to catch up to the pack.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): Perform a realistic assessment of your team’s points ceiling, both in the short term and the immediate term. If you don’t like what you see, determine if there are any categories with relatively low correlations to other categories (i.e. – stolen bases, saves) that you’d be better off punting, identify potential trade targets on other teams, and send out some offers. It can also be helpful after waivers have run to see if other teams have extra players they may be willing to deal as an alternative to cutting them. Nothing earth-shattering here, but worth keeping in mind.

Tout Wars Free Agency Bidding Recap – Sunday, May 26

Here we are again with our summary of the top free agent bids in each of the five Tout Wars leagues, with links to the detailed bidding action following our 8 p.m. ET deadline each Sunday evening. All prices are on a $1000 base.

After you review the detail below, please join our live chat, starting at 9 p.m. ET Sunday evening, to discuss these results with Todd Zola of Mastersball and other Touts.

American League

In the AL, it was a week of quantity and quality bidding (as measured by large bids). 25 players were rostered, led by a pair drawing offers over $100.

Former Milwaukee prospect and more recently failed Met Keon Broxton fetched a winning bid of $152 from Larry Schechter. The outfielder joined the Orioles this week and already hit a mammoth long ball for the worst team in the AL.

Middle infielder Lourdes Gurriel is back with the Jays and Mike Gianella of Baseball Prospectus got his man for $131. The Cuban’s 4-for-4 Sunday return for a Toronto team going nowhere had to increase interest.

Review all 5/26 AL bids here.

National League

21 players joined NL Tout rosters this week.

Slugger Kevin Cron has joined Arizona, but playing time would seem to depend on Christian Walker’s performance. Andy Behrens of Yahoo did not wait, making a winning bid of $161.

Despite a crowded Padres outfield, prospect Josh Naylor was called up for interleague play and the 21-year old has performed well in early duty. Tristan H. Cockcroft of ESPN was all-in – or more appropriately in for $87.

With Colorado closer Wade Davis out with an oblique injury, Scott Oberg has been anointed as the Rockies’ interim closer. Scott Wilderman of onRoto spent $78.

I took a $32 flyer on a first-time MLB starter. St. Louis is bringing up lefty Genesis Cabrera to take a tough assignment in Philly on Wednesday. The 23-year old with the 98 mph fastball is the best prospect from the Tommy Pham trade with the Rays and takes Michael Wacha’s rotation spot.

Review all 5/26 NL bids here.

Mixed Auction

25 was also the quantity of players who fetched winning bids this week in Mixed Auction, however, a trio of players were acquired for triple digits.

Leading the way is Derek Dietrich of the Reds, going to Derek Van Riper of RotoWire for $127. It is amazing that not only did the Marlins not ask the utilityman back for 2019, but that he had to settle for a minor league deal. With 13 long balls in 48 games, Dietrich is just three short of his career high.

Craig Biggio’s son Cavan was called up by Toronto and hit his first MLB home run on Sunday. Though not a national top 100 prospect, Biggio should play, as it is clear that his club isn’t going to win the powerhouse AL East. His new owner is Scott Engel ($125). Engel had a busy Sunday, also acquiring Cron for $111.

Review all 5/26 Mixed Auction bids here.

Mixed Draft

23 free agents were added via FAAB in Mixed Draft this week.

The top price in the league was the $251 Tim McCullough spent on Cron. That topped the Angels first baseman’s next-best offer of $181.

Biggio joined the roster of D.J. Short for an even $150. The same owner who just missed out on Cron, Greg Ambrosius of the NFBC, again came in second at $121.

Seth Trachtman picked up Oberg for $50 and new Pirates starter Mitch Keller for $45.

Review all 5/26 Mixed Draft bids here.

Head to Head

In the lowest level of action, just 14 free agents were picked up this week in the Tout Head-to-Head league.

Even so, the top dollar amount across all five leagues is the $290 Joe Pisapia spent on Biggio. He also dropped $220 on Cron, spending more than half of his full-year $1000 budget here on Memorial Day weekend. Perhaps Joe took stock of his team and decided to go big on offense.  Of note, in two of the three leagues in which both were eligible, Biggio went for more money than Cron. Mixed Draft is the exception.

Ian Kahn added Cubs left fielder Kyle Schwarber for $74.

Review all 5/26 Head to Head bids here.