ToutTable: Lowball Trade Offers

We touched a nerve with some in this week’s ToutTable, asking

How do you deal with the league-mate known for beginning trade talks with a lowball offer?

Here do you stand? Let us know on Twitter or in the comments.

Scott Engel (RotoExperts, @scotteRotoEx): I usually reject a lowball offer instantly and then it really depends on if I am at all interested in any of the players offered at all. If I am I will explore a counter offer through a small time window and then move on if nothing happens in many cases. Many times I just hit reject and that is it

Brian Walton (CreativeSports2, @B_Walton): Assuming there might be a needs match, it depends on whether the low-ball owner has a track record of becoming reasonable later on. Most times, if it is not the case and I expect he/she will be hard to deal with, I quickly decline and move on. However, I do reply to all offers made directly (not league-wide broadcasts) and wish everyone else would extend me that same courtesy.

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): I don’t have leaguemates like that. (Wait, does that mean it is me?)  Honestly, I am usually happy to take the lowball offer, try to see where I can make it a win/win and will counter if I can.  If I can’t, I don’t waste their time, I just say we don’t have a match that I see.  It strikes me that usually I *should* have a match with other owners because I am always unbalanced early in a season in redraft leagues.  I don’t have to “win” a deal on value–I just need a way that it adds to my point total.  I like when other owners are open to thinking about possibilities in various categories. And that starts to percolate at the end of May, early June, in re-draft leagues (in my experience).  Conversely, in dynasty or keepers, the store is ALWAYS open.

Gene McCaffrey (Wise Guy Baseball, @WiseGuyGene): Depends on my mood. If I’m feeling fine I reply “You will have to do better than that.” If I’m cross I will counter with an even more absurd counter-offer and a “don’t waste my time” PS. Honestly though, such offers are rarer than they used to be.

Rick Wolf (Fantasy Alarm, @RickWolf1): Firm believer in counter offers. That is how trading works. If it is such a bad offer, it can usually tell you what player(s) from your team that the person is interested in. Then you can start the process of making the trade. Review both teams needs to find out if there is a fit and then make an offer that helps both teams. If you can include players that the person had in the first lowball offer, all the better. If the owner does not counter offer and just says no or reiterates the bad offer, I explain how that is NOT how trading works. It is Accept, Counter or Reject. A straight reject ends the negotiation. Done and done.

Rudy Gamble (Razzball, @RudyGamble): I am nicer than I used to be. As long as it is remotely acceptable, I look to see if there is a mutually beneficial trade, counter if there is, or reject with a benign message. If it is just an irredeemable offer, I tend to shame them via private message. It’s been a long time, though, since I went full ‘scorched earth’ public shaming – last time I recall was when someone offered me Mike Aviles straight up for Mike (not yet Giancarlo) Stanton. Why don’t you just come to my house, drink all my liquor and replace it with Zima while you are it?

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner): I like Rudy’s answer so much I’m going to use that next time … instead of my standard, “Jake, you know I’m not going to agree to that!”

Phil Hertz (BaseballHQ, @prhz50): I try to explain the absurdity of the offer. If there’s nothing interesting in the offer, that’s the end. If something was tempting I try to come up with a counter that might be tempting (and explain why the other owner should be interested ).

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): How does one define “lowball”? Every owner values players differently, which is why each of us ended up as the highest bidder on the players we acquired at the auction. One owner might consider your offer a lowball, while if you ask another owner his opinion, he might disagree, believing it to be fair. At the very least, the lowball offers tells you immediately which player your potential trade partner wants. Then work your magic from there to negotiate a more beneficial deal for your team.

Perry Van Hook (Mastersball): I think there are three ways to deal with the lowball offer (not counting a quick delete). 1) Make an equally ludicrous counter offer; 2) if there is a player you really want on his team that he didn’t offer, reply and say let’s get Manny Machado involved in this trade; 3) reply and tell them you have better offers for your player – it either gets a response worth dealing with or they go away.

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner): After giving it some more thought, I try to counter most offers no matter how ridiculous. Or try to politely tell the other owner I’m not really interested in making a deal right now, assuming I don’t see a logical trade with the personnel we have.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): When I was younger and got sent a lowball deal, I responded with a line like, “Hey, are you for frigging real?” But now those days are past, I’m not so sure I see; So I reply, and I ask why, the offer works for me. “Help me if you can,” that’s what I say; And “no, I don’t believe in Sonny Gray; Don’t want Royals, that includes Jon Jay; Oh won’t you please, please help me?” The effectiveness of this ploy depends a lot on the age of the guy who sent the offer.

Ray Flowers (Fantasy Guru Elite, @BaseballGuys): I’m constantly shocked at the trade offers I hear people pulled off in their leagues (and there are doozies presented to me as done deals all the time). I don’t get offended if I receive a poor first offer because you never know until you ask. If the offer isn’t to my liking I explain to the person what I’m looking for and then see if we can find a better fit for both of us. Personal example in Tout Wars this year – I presented an available player to an owner and was told, emphatically, that they had zero interest. Meanwhile, another owner came to me to make me an offer for the very same player. You never know who thinks what about which guy, and the only way to find out is to reach out and inquire. If people get offended, well, that’s on them. Besides, there’s little reason for anyone to make their best offer on first approach. That’s just not how negotiations work.

Mike Gianella (Baseball Prospectus, @MikeGianella): I almost never respond to lowball offers. I used to respond to every email but in my experience I’ve found that if someone’s starting point is so far away from my idea of “fair” a deal is never going to happen. I’m not even suggesting that the other fantasy player is operating in bad faith but rather if their idea of value on a player is so radically different than mine we’re never going to come to an accord in this specific instance.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): Real quick to answer Podz, sure, we all value players differently, but we also can recognize an offer designed to be one-sided. I guess it’s like the definition of porn, you know it when you see it. Like Doug, I’m a the point I don’t get these type of offers, but I know they’re out there — my niece sends me texts with some absurd trade offers she gets as well as e-mails and tweets from readers. Anyway, I’ve learned most lowball offers aren’t devious, but from someone that isn’t adept at negotiating. I read it as they want the player targeted in the deal but don’t know where to begin, so I’ll engage and if I can see a counter involving the player, I’ll send it, tilting it my way, at least in my view. More often that not, it’s accepted. If I determine the offer is of the devious variety, I’ll quickly respectfully decline, If they persist, I will ignore them.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): I like Gene’s approach – if you offer me Ozzie Albies for Mike Trout, I’ll counter by offering Nick Markakis for Bryce Harper. Fortunately, it’s been awhile since I received an offer like that – the last one I can recall involved my being offered Mark Buehrle for Manny Machado, or something similar in an AL-only league.

Fred Zinkie (Years in Tout Wars: 8, @): If the lowball offer includes a player I would like to trade away or a player I would like to acquire, then I will likely make a counter offer or send an email with other ideas. Also, if the offer is accompanied by a short note that explains the owner’s rationale, then I will likely try to work with him. But I like won’t bother to get involved in trade talks if the offer is lopsided and no note is attached. As a related aside, league providers that don’t allow you to send comments with your trade rejections are the worst. I hate having to reject a trade on the league site and then send a separate email to explain my thoughts. And yes, I know that these feelings mean that I’m getting old and grouchy!

Larry Schechter (Winning Fantasy Baseball, @LarrySchechter): I’ve come to realize that many times an offer seems really bad, it may just be an honest difference of opinion. Besides a difference of statistical expectations, value formulas can vary greatly. This year, in fact, I got an offer that I thought was ridiculous. I made a sarcastic comment in reply, and my leaguemate then explained to me that h e honestly had his guys valued much higher than I did. Although it seemed absurd to me, it was just an honest difference of opinion.

Andy Behrens (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @andybehrens): I’m so glad we’re finally having a public conversation about Chris Liss. But he’s been peddling trash for so long across so many fantasy leagues that we can’t reasonably expect him to change. It’s clear at this point that Liss is not capable of feeling shame. Still, I’m glad we’ve raised a question that is obviously about him. It’s best to simply mute or block Liss on all social platforms and send his emails to spam. As for other owners who send lowball trade offers, I tend to simply reject without countering if I think we’re starting from a place that can’t easily lead to a balanced deal. I don’t feel the need to lecture anyone about unfair proposals, because there’s almost no benefit to doing so. I find it’s often best to open trade discussions with an email that mentions a few pieces I’m willing to deal and the categories I’m looking to address. If you can take a minute to identify a potential trade partner’s actual needs, that never hurts. Moving from a general discussion to a specific proposal tends to be a successful path.

Lenny Melnick (LennyMelnickFantasySports, @LennyMelnick): Simple… Just ask the trade partner ,”how does this help me?” The answers are usually as amusing as the offer itself

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson): As always, it depends on who is making that offer. If it’s an offer from someone less experienced, I’ll be more patient with it. But if it’s in an industry league, I’ll just argue with my co-host on air about why it’s a crap offer and why he doesn’t deserve a counter-offer. Actually, Liss and I ultimately end up doing a lot of trades. Usually, though, I’m in the “an offer is a gift” crowd, and I like to reward the person that put themselves out there to make the offer. That’s way better than the leaguemate that initiates trade talks with me by saying “I’m really interested in getting Gerrit Cole from you, take a look at my roster to see if there’s anything interesting …” and shifting the burden to you to make the offer. Don’t waste my time, basically. Whoever gave the lousy advice to “never make the first offer” deserves to spend an hour being slightly uncomfortable in an outer ring in the circles of heck.

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson): Also to Lenny’s response, which was great, some of the worst offers I’ve gotten were in a Scoresheet league with the same owner repeatedly sending miserable offers that came along with three-to-four paragraphs explanations why the deal was so great for me. This was in a keeper format, and this owner always tried to win both the short-term and the long-term of the deal. They were the commishes of this league, too, and would manipulate the league rules to have certain quirks outside of the usual Scoresheet format, all which coincidentally benefitted them the most. Sometimes you have to put someone on the “do not trade with” list and move on.

D.J. Short (Rotoworld, @djshort): In those situations, I usually just reject without explanation or a counter-offer. I usually make a mental note for the future too. If I’m pressed on the offer I rejected, I try to be polite about it even if I find it ridiculous because we might legitimately match up down the road. In theory, anyway.

Scott Pianowski (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @Scott_Pianowski): Oh man. How much time do you have? I could write a book on this. Sometimes I’ll say something semi-serious but also snarky, like “would you tell one of your followers to do this deal you just offered me?” Most of the time I’ll just look for common ground. Maybe it’s the players involved who are gumming up the works; perhaps we just need to move off the wrong targets. Obviously it’s a game of opinions. Maybe I’ll ask the other guy to rank something on his roster, or in general. Maybe I’ll throw out something, ranks, an article, anything – that explains my point of view. Sometimes I’ll just vent offline to a friend. But above all else, if nothing else works, if you’re really at a standstill, here’s my best solution – get a co-owner who loves trading, loves the haggling, loves the process. I used to be this guy, and honestly, I’m not any more. I don’t like to have my time wasted. I don’t like needing 37 emails to figure out toppings on a pizza. But in my longtime keeper league, my main man HSG loves the trade game, so I’m the player-eval manager, and he’s the haggler. Works well for us.

Tim McCullough (Rotoexperts, @Tim_Rotoexperts): It really depends on who it’s from, and how well I know them. In Tout Wars, most of the offers I’ve received have been from people I know well, work with, and greatly respect. And the vast majority of the trade offers have been fairly balanced and worthwhile. But there is one person in particular (who shall remain nameless out of respect) who has repeatedly given me lowball offers. Typically, I will dismiss such offers outright and give my reason for doing so. I will also suggest a better deal that benefits both teams as a counteroffer. In addition to lowball offers, this league mate tends to overvalue certain players – usually someone they are trying to trade away. If I think his offer is so lowball that it devalues the game, I typically will send a more balanced trade offer, but I’ve also been known to send a ridiculous offer

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis): If you play with certain league managers for many season, not only do you pick up on their draft tendencies, but you also have a feel for their trade offers. For the league managers that have a tendency of low balling their initial trade offers, I simple decline the trade, but I leave the same standard message in the comments box which is “Don’t insult my intelligence”. That usually gets their attention and reduces any back and forth trade negotiations. I have more respect to people that make trade offers that are fair and helps both teams. It shows me that they at least took the time to look at my league roster to see where I could use some help in categories, while at the same time, not taking advantage of the trade.

Michael Rathburn (Rotowire, @FantasyRath): I usually reject it, but will try and follow up to see what exactly they are trying to do. I like it when an owner will reach out first and discuss before making an offer. Sometimes it is not needed or feasible. If you try to get their perspective on the trade and what they want, it does help.

Tout Wars FAAB Report: Week of May 21

Welcome to the weekly Tout Wars FAAB report, on its new home right here on the Tout Wars site. Each week, we’ll review the free agent acquisitions from all five leagues, with commentary from a league member, as well as yours truly. We changed the timing of the weekly run to 1 PM ET every Sunday, with the report posted later that afternoon so you’ll have time to digest and apply to your own leagues. In addition, I’ll be joining Lawr Michaels and Justin Mason on the Tout Wars Hour on the FNTSY Network every Sunday at 3:20 PM ET to discuss the results.

You can find the complete list of Tout Warriors here. Everyone starts with 1000 FAAB units, less any penalty incurred by finishing below a designated point in the standings. This is a means of keeping everyone motivated to keep playing all season long. The minimum bid is $0. FAAB units can be traded as well as rebated for players released off the DL.

The report will list all winning bids along with unsuccessful tries and contingencies. This provides the maximum level of information to help gauge interest on the players.

The American and National League only formats are 12-team leagues, as is the new points-based head to head league, The Mixed Auction and Draft each have 15 clubs. All the leagues have four reserves with an unlimited DL, expect the head to head league, which allows six reserves.

The headings above each league are links to publicly accessible sites where you can see standings, roster and a complete review of transactions. The initial auctions and drafts can be found here.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
TKemp, Hou Jason Collette 118 Larry Schechter 38 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 36
Lawr Michaels 10
CArroyo, TB Seth Trachtman 92 Rob Leibowitz 67 Chris Liss 38
Larry Schechter 21 Patrick Davitt 3
Seth Trachtman 3 Vlad Sedler 2
Lawr Michaels 2 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
SGaviglio, Tor Lawr Michaels 77 Jeff Erickson 53 Larry Schechter 32
JCave, Min Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 36 Jason Collette 18 Chris Liss 15
GAllen, Cle Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 36 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 21
HDozier, KC Seth Trachtman 35 Larry Schechter 22 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
BRondon, CWS Jeff Erickson 23 Larry Schechter 9 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
Doug Dennis 0
HSantiago, CWS Jeff Erickson 11
HAlberto, Tex Lawr Michaels 7 Seth Trachtman 0
ASusac, Bal Rob Leibowitz 5
CFrazier, NYY Rob Leibowitz 5 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1 Chris Liss 0
JFry, CWS Larry Schechter 4 Mike Podhorzer 0
BWilson, Min Jeff Erickson 3
DGossett, Oak Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
PKozma, Det Vlad Sedler 2 Seth Trachtman 3 Lawr Michaels 1
JShields, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2 Jeff Erickson 11
ABanda, TB Patrick Davitt 1 Jeff Erickson 11 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
Seth Trachtman 1
GBeckham, Sea Chris Liss 0 Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
JHolder, NYY Doug Dennis 0
TScott, Bal Mike Podhorzer 0
JAdam, KC Mike Podhorzer 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
RUrena, Tor Vlad Sedler 2
MHermosillo, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 2
TraThompson, CWS Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
SLeon, Bos Jeff Erickson 1
JSucre, TB Rob Leibowitz 1
CPerez, Tex Rob Leibowitz 1
CHeadley, FA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 1
ARomine, NYY Rob Leibowitz 1
NRamirez, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0 Mike Podhorzer 0
JAxford, Tor Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0 Doug Dennis 0
TOlson, Cle Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
TKahnle, NYY Doug Dennis 0
LTrivino, Oak Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
JDiekman, Tex Jeff Erickson 0
JAlvarez, LAA Doug Dennis 0
HHembree, Bos Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
DSmithJr, Tor Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
DAltavilla, Sea Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
CBYoung, LAA Rick Wolf/Glenn Colton 0
CBradford, Sea Doug Dennis 0

Seth Trachtman’s Commentary

The 5-foot-6 Tony Kemp was the big buy this week at $118 to Collette. Not surprisingly, Kemp’s speed faced bid competition from three other owners. Kemp’s opportunities in Houston have been limited over the last two years, but he’s seen some at-bats early on and certainly has the ability to help in on-base percentage and stolen bases if the opportunities continue.

I was one of eight owners to bid on Rays infielder Christian Arroyo, winning him for $92. This addition was all about opportunity. Just like Tampa Bay, my team is in need for at-bats at middle and corner, and Arroyo has a chance to play, with Adeiny Hechavarria on the DL. Arroyo has third base eligibility, but he appeared at shortstop in Durham and started at second base on Saturday. That potential position flexibility adds to his value.

Other significant hitter purchases this week included Greg Allen ($36), Jake Cave ($36), and Hunter Dozier ($35). All have seen recent opportunities due to injuries elsewhere but saw limited interest in this week’s bidding.

Sam Gaviglio was the headliner of the pitcher bidding after a great first start of the season. Michaels won the soft-tosser for $77, outbidding Erickson ($53) and Schechter ($32). Overall, Gaviglio had limited success between Seattle and Kansas City last season, but of his 13 starts, he allowed three earned runs or less in nine of them. The semi-significant bids show the optimism that he could be a nice streaming option in the near future.

Other starters purchased this week included Hector Santiago ($11), James Shields ($2), Daniel Gossett ($2), and Anthony Banda ($1), leaving Dylan Covey and Ariel Jurado as the only remaining probable starters on the waiver wire.

The Bruce Rondon market was also active, despite the relatively low $23 price, with four owners bidding. The hard-thrower is missing plenty of bats, as usual, and earned his first save of the year last Sunday. Even with Nate Jones earning the last two saves for the White Sox, Rondon is certainly a decent speculative addition for Erickson, who doesn’t currently have a closer on his roster.

Todd’s Take

It will be interesting to see how much playing time Kemp receives with J.D. Davis also in the mix. Davis started the season with the defending champs but was sent down after a couple weeks. He’s back, and with Evan Gattis and Marwin Gonzalez not hitting, there’s a lineup opening.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
JSoto, Was Lenny Melnick 608 Grey Albright 356 Mike Gianella 336
Steve Gardner 248 Craig Mish 237
Brian Walton 225 Todd Zola 217
Phil Hertz 55
JLyles, SD Phil Hertz 335 Todd Zola 317 Mike Gianella 88
Steve Gardner 59 Tristan H. Cockcroft 22
Brian Walton 14 Derek Carty 11
Grey Albright 6
AMeadows, Pit Todd Zola 217 Lenny Melnick 375 Mike Gianella 186
Brian Walton 125 Tristan H. Cockcroft 112
Todd Zola 77 Scott Wilderman 58
Grey Albright 53 Derek Carty 42
Craig Mish 27
FReyes, SD Mike Gianella 206 Lenny Melnick 225 Mike Gianella 166
Steve Gardner 102 Todd Zola 73
Scott Wilderman 58 Grey Albright 53
Brian Walton 30 Derek Carty 4
Tristan H. Cockcroft 2
GHampson, Col Andy Behrens 62 Grey Albright 2
NCuevas, Col Lenny Melnick 59 Scott Wilderman 2 Grey Albright 2
Scott Wilderman 0 Mike Gianella 0
Derek Carty 0
JChoi, Mil Scott Wilderman 58
DWinkler, Atl Phil Hertz 33 Craig Mish 28 Grey Albright 12
Derek Carty 6
ERamos, Phi Grey Albright 33 Steve Gardner 69 Derek Carty 32
Phil Hertz 17

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
RRodriguez, Pit Brian Walton 15 Phil Hertz 7
YMunoz, StL Scott Wilderman 15 Mike Gianella 13
MFeliz, Pit Steve Gardner 12 Derek Carty 0
TSaladino, Mil Mike Gianella 8 Scott Wilderman 7 Grey Albright 7
PEvans, NYM Grey Albright 7 Mike Gianella 0
RErlin, SD Tristan H. Cockcroft 2 Phil Hertz 44
MGomez, SF Scott Wilderman 1 Mike Gianella 0
TCruz, Cin Craig Mish 0 Andy Behrens 0
JBandy, Mil Andy Behrens 0
AChafin, Ari Derek Carty 0
TWatson, SF Derek Carty 0
CBuchholz, Ari Phil Hertz 40
EHernandez, Mia Brian Walton 12 Grey Albright 7 Phil Hertz 5
JVargas, NYM Phil Hertz 11 Tristan H. Cockcroft 0
LGarcia, Phi Grey Albright 7
JFields, LAD Grey Albright 6 Phil Hertz 0
LGuillorme, NYM Scott Wilderman 0 Mike Gianella 0
BHoladay, Mia Andy Behrens 0
JValentin, Phi Mike Gianella 0

Brian Walton’s Commentary

Recently I detailed the first-month FAAB spending in the three oldest Tout leagues, noting that here in the NL, just under $2,400, or 21.4 percent of the full-year budgets, was used in April. In this week’s major spendathon, almost $1,700 more, $1,688 to be exact, was deployed on winning bids for the 21 free agents listed in the table above.

Three offensive prospects and a re-born starting pitcher led the way.

The Touts were not sleeping on Sunday call-up Juan Soto. The Washington outfielder, up from Double-A, received the top bid of $608. This came from Lenny Melnick, who not coincidentally earlier Sunday morning traded away Eugenio Suarez and Javier Baez for starting pitching. Two other offers for the 19-year old were in the $300’s and two others in the $200’s. The opportunity in the disappointing Nats outfield is there. It is up to Soto to run with it.

If there was ever a post-hype pitcher, Jordan Lyles is it. The former top prospect of Colorado began the season in San Diego’s bullpen and even after a strong start the week before last, the lefty was ignored in the free agent bidding.  7 1/3 innings of one-hit ball with 10 strikeouts against the Rockies in his second start led to a $335 offer from Phil Hertz of BaseballHQ this time around. Not coincidentally, Hertz is the owner who sent Stephen Strasburg and Zack Greinke to Melnick.

Next in the spending derby was our own Lord Zola, who allocated $217 for new Pirates outfielder Austin Meadows. Regular playing time seems assured – at least as long as Starling Marte’s oblique is bothering him – and we know those injuries can be tricky.

Finally, at “just” $206 is San Diego’s Franmil Reyes. The outfielder was rumored to have come up last Sunday, but the move was not official until Monday. The 22-year old, a physical specimen at 6-foot-5, 240 pounds, is off to a very slow start, with just two singles to go with six strikeouts and no walks in his initial 14 MLB plate appearances. Some patience may be required.

Todd’s Take

It was like a preview of the July trade deadline this week, at least for those of us with limited FAAB resources. For the second time in recent weeks, Phil Hertz cracked my password and knew exactly how much to outbid me. Kidding, of course, but he did out pace my aggressive 317 try for Jordan Lyles by just 18 units. This piece by Craig Edwards on Fangraphs is much of the reason for my interest.

In lieu of Lyles, I opted to go after Austin Meadows, who I ranked higher than Juan Soto and Franil Reyes. I know that may seem against the norm, but recency bias is a powerful force. As a baseball fan, I’m rooting for Soto and Reyes, but the analyst in me relies on history and the examples of hitters of their ilk making a difference right away suggests caution. This doesn’t mean I’m pounding the case of Meadows, just of the three, I like his chances to contribute a little more.

The underlying story to the Hertz and Melnick FAAB bids is a blockbuster deal where Hertz sent Ian Desmond, Eugenio Suarez and Javier Baez to Melnick for Stephen Strasburg, Zack Greinke and Jose Reyes. It’s a great challenge trade, each side addressing needs, putting themselves in a better position to compete than previous to the deal. Kudos, gentlemen.

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
JSoto, Was Ray Flowers 412 Brent Hershey 401 Tim McLeod 357
Bret Sayre 315 Fred Zinkie 285
Derek VanRiper 227 Al Melchior 126
Scott Engel 56 Tim Heaney 46
Jeff Zimmerman 31 Joe Pisapia 22
NJones, CWS Scott Swanay 222 Zach Steinhorn 128 Ray Flowers 39
Tim McLeod 32
FReyes, SD Ron Shandler 213
JLyles, SD Derek VanRiper 159 Scott Engel 76 Jeff Zimmerman 74
Tim Heaney 66 Joe Pisapia 55
Tim McLeod 42 Ron Shandler 27
Fred Zinkie 25
DWinkler, Atl Jeff Zimmerman 114 Al Melchior 54 Tim Heaney 26
Brent Hershey 10 Derek VanRiper 7
RStripling, LAD Zach Steinhorn 92 Derek VanRiper 77 Joe Pisapia 55
Ron Shandler 47 Tim McLeod 46
Scott Engel 46 Zach Steinhorn 36
Scott Swanay 28
SDominguez, Phi Scott Swanay 87 Joe Pisapia 77 Tim Heaney 46
Tim McLeod 33 Brent Hershey 26
JDyson, Ari Scott Engel 47 Tim Heaney 26
JChacin, Mil Tim Heaney 46 Zach Steinhorn 38 Scott Engel 29
Zach Steinhorn 16
VGuerreroJr, Tor Tim McLeod 43 Fred Zinkie 13
DDescalso, Ari Ray Flowers 36 Brent Hershey 20 Scott Engel 17
Tim Heaney 2
COwings, Ari Tim Heaney 36
WDifo, Was Tim Heaney 26 Brent Hershey 25 Derek VanRiper 22
GHeredia, Sea Al Melchior 25 Tim McLeod 14
AMeadows, Pit Fred Zinkie 20 Ron Shandler 71
JAnderson, LAA Ray Flowers 17 Scott Swanay 44
ACashner, Bal Jeff Zimmerman 11
IKinerFalefa, Tex Brent Hershey 11
NGoodrum, Det Derek VanRiper 11 Scott Engel 24 Ron Shandler 18
JDDavis, Hou Zach Steinhorn 8
SOh, Tor Tim McLeod 3 Derek VanRiper 7
CRichard, SD Fred Zinkie 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
ERamos, Phi Scott Swanay 87 Ray Flowers 17
FPeralta, Mil Tim Heaney 46 Derek VanRiper 27
DValencia, Bal Ray Flowers 26 Tim Heaney 1
MPrado, Mia Ray Flowers 26
YSanchez, CWS Ray Flowers 26
BGamel, Sea Ron Shandler 18
BRondon, CWS Ray Flowers 17
VMartinez, Det Ron Shandler 7
LBrinson, Mia Ray Flowers 7
MMahtook, Det Ron Shandler 1
GParra, Col Tim Heaney 0
HBader, StL Tim Heaney 0
RFlaherty, Atl Tim Heaney 0
SMiller, Ari Tim Heaney 0

 

Todd’s Take

It’s kind of head-scratching how only one person bid on Franmil Reyes, who seems like the perfect contingency to Juan Soto. Both are emerging prospects, called up to the bigs based on small sample size success in the minors. The Nats need someone to help their playoff run so they’re likely to stick with the 19-year old phenom while the Padres have many bodies to audition for their outfield of the future, so it’s understandable Soto was more highly sought after, but Reyes deserved a little more sloppy seconds attention.

Maybe it’s some confirmation bias since I was in on Arodys Vizcaino as a cheap source of saves, but I keep seeing bids on A.J. Minter and Dan Winkler without concern on my part Vizacaino’s job is in jeopardy. Sure, he’s blown a couple saves, but I did say cheap source – implying he’s not elite, hence vulnerable to a rough outing here and there.

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
JSoto, Was Scott White 235 D.J. Short 100 Ray Murphy 94
Adam Ronis 62 Rudy Gamble 38
LGohara, Atl Gene McCaffrey 208 Ray Murphy 54 Adam Ronis 28
GHeredia, Sea Perry Van Hook 69
FPeralta, Mil Greg Ambrosius 67
SDominguez, Phi Scott White 63 Gene McCaffrey 78 Ray Murphy 54
ERamos, Phi Michael Beller 63
JLyles, SD Michael Beller 61 Ray Murphy 54 Adam Ronis 16
AMeadows, Pit Tom Kessenich 59 Gene McCaffrey 38 D.J. Short 20
Adam Ronis 12
RStripling, LAD D.J. Short 45 Ray Murphy 24 Rudy Gamble 6
Adam Ronis 1
JDDavis, Hou Ray Murphy 44 Adam Ronis 3
MJoyce, Oak Gene McCaffrey 38
DMengden, Oak Rudy Gamble 38 Adam Ronis 16 Jeff Boggis 6
NGoodrum, Det Rudy Gamble 38 Adam Ronis 2
LGarcia, CWS Ray Murphy 34
FReyes, SD Anthony Perri 32
DWinkler, Atl Scott White 23 Ray Murphy 14 Gene McCaffrey 8
HPerez, Mil Gene McCaffrey 18
BParker, LAA Rudy Gamble 18
JHellickson, Was Adam Ronis 16 Ray Murphy 14 Jeff Boggis 5
Rudy Gamble 1
RYarbrough, TB Ray Murphy 14 Gene McCaffrey 8
BRondon, CWS Ray Murphy 14
JMercer, Pit Greg Ambrosius 5
WFlores, NYM D.J. Short 5
YSanchez, CWS Michael Beller 3
BColon, Tex Perry Van Hook 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
RTepera, Tor Rudy Gamble 18
TKemp, Hou Gene McCaffrey 18
JRickard, Bal Gene McCaffrey 8
JIglesias, Det Greg Ambrosius 4
AEscobar, KC Greg Ambrosius 3
ABanda, TB Rudy Gamble 1
BStewart, LAD Rudy Gamble 1

Perry Van Hook’s Commentary

 

Several Touts with big bids on the table this week. The highest winning bid was for Nationals prospect Juan Soto, just recalled by the big club at $235 to Scott White. Gene McCaffrey also put out two large – $208 for Atlanta pitcher Luis Gohara.

With Phillies OF Aaron Altherr getting fewer at bats and doing less with them I reserved him to add a fresh face and was fortunate to win my first choice, new Mariner center fielder Guillermo Heredia for $69, as in leagues with $1000 FAAB budgets he went for well over one hundred in several. With full time at bats, Heredia can be a solid contributor in all categories.

I was also looking for another starting pitcher and while out bid on Jordan Lyles and Ross Stripling was glad to get a two start week for Bartolo Colon for a zero dollar bid.

Todd’s Take

Maybe I’m misreading the buzz on Franmil Reyes, perhaps it’s a what have you done for me lately scenario and he’s off to a slow start.

Luiz Gohara was a popular pick as he’s in line for a starting gig with the Braves, sooner than later. However, keep in mind he’s slated for a start this week, then he’ll be leaving the club to be with his ailing mom in Brazil. He’s expected to be back a week later, at which point Mike Soroka could be back. At least for now, there’s one spot for the two of them but that can change on a dime.

HEAD-TO-HEAD MIXED AUCTION

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
LGohara, Atl Jake Ciely 117 Paul Sporer 5
JBour, Mia Paul Sporer 111 Justin Mason 87 Kyle Elfrink 66
Andrea LaMont 41 Dr. Roto 21
JSoto, Was Dr. Roto 79 Andrea LaMont 48 Paul Sporer 33
JProfar, Tex Dr. Roto 57 Dr. Roto 56 Peter Kreutzer 11
DSantana, Mil Justin Mason 57 Dr. Roto 40 Andrea LaMont 16
SGreene, Det Kyle Elfrink 57 Andrea LaMont 1
AMeadows, Pit Justin Mason 47 Dr. Roto 5
RErlin, SD Peter Kreutzer 37
ZEflin, Phi Andrea LaMont 32
AOttavino, Col Justin Mason 27 Dr. Roto 11
BColon, Tex Peter Kreutzer 27
JHicks, Det Paul Sporer 24
KFreeland, Col Andrea LaMont 23
JGyorko, StL Dr. Roto 22 Paul Sporer 11
TJankowski, SD Kyle Elfrink 22 Dr. Roto 39 Peter Kreutzer 8
DRobertson, TB Michael Rathburn 18 Peter Kreutzer 18
JCamargo, Atl Peter Kreutzer 18
ROdor, Tex Justin Mason 17
LMorrison, Min Paul Sporer 12 Andrea LaMont 3
KHerrera, KC Dr. Roto 11 Andrea LaMont 0
SDominguez, Phi Paul Sporer 6 Dr. Roto 11 Andrea LaMont 0
CBettis, Col Justin Mason 1
AVizcaino, Atl Andrea LaMont 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
JLyles, SD Andrea LaMont 24
MBoyd, Det Peter Kreutzer 23 Andrea LaMont 3 Justin Mason 1
CPinder, Oak Peter Kreutzer 18
FPeralta, Mil Peter Kreutzer 18
ARussell, ChC Michael Rathburn 10
NGoodrum, Det Peter Kreutzer 8 Peter Kreutzer 2
DDescalso, Ari Paul Sporer 7 Peter Kreutzer 0
ARiley, Atl Dr. Roto 7
JKipnis, Cle Justin Mason 7
WDifo, Was Dr. Roto 2
DFister, Tex Justin Mason 1 Justin Mason 0
OArcia, Mil Dr. Roto 1 Justin Mason 0
CMoran, Pit Paul Sporer 1
MGonzales, Sea Dr. Roto 1
AColome, TB Andrea LaMont 0
BZobrist, ChC Peter Kreutzer 0

Todd’s Take and Commentary

Here’s the difference between a 12 and 15 team league — a player like Bour was available. It’s a matter of risk profile, preferring the floor of Bour versus the ceiling of Soto. Hmm, that’s borderline poetic.

It’s interesting we have a couple of bids on Gohara, but those guys opted not to bid on any of the available starters, especially Lyles and Matthew Boyd.

Tout Daily: Erickson Berrios the Field

Period 2, Week 3 of Tout Daily belonged to Rotowire’s Jeff Erickson as he rode the exploits of Jose Berrios and Noah Syndergaard to a resounding victory. Erickson’s 155.65 points outpaced Rotoheaven’s Rob Leibowitz second place total of 153.6. Tim Heaney from Rotowire and ESPN grabbed third with 131.8 points. Aside from a couple of stellar pitching outings, Erickson rode the bat of Joey Gallo and Rajai Davis, both only selected by three of the 27 entrants.

The top two points scorers for the period remain the same with Clay link in the driver’s seat for his second golden ticket into the Tout Daily Finals followed by Gene McCaffrey. Leibowitz vaulted into third where several Touts are in shouting distance in next week’s Period 2’s last week.

The overall points leaders continue to be Todd Zola, Link and Rick Wolf, though Zola’s lead has shrunk to a measly two points. Follow your favorit Tout on the Leaderboard.

Check back next Tuesday as the Tout share their favorite picks for the night’s Tout Daily contest.

Here’s Jeff’s week-winning lineup.

Tout Daily Picks: Beware of the rain on the east coast

It’s the third week of the second period of Tout Daily. Clay Link and Gene McCaffrey have a good lead for the Golden Tickets into the championship. There’s a heated battle for the final ticket. Check your favorite Tout’s plight on the Leaderboard.

Here’s where some of us are looking to anchor our lineups.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis)

Gerrit Cole: He’s now thrown a quality start in all eight starts since joining the Astros and has an outstanding 13.7 K/9 and 1.43 ERA.

Adam Jones: Value play of the day. His .259 batting average this season is lower than normal and I see this increasing (hopefully tonight).

Lawr Michaels (CreativeSports2, @lawrmichaels)

Zack Greinke: Greinke comes in with 53 whiffs over 48.6 frames and faces the Brewers who have struck out 284 times facing righies, and with Grienke hurling at home, let’s give him the advantage.

Carlos Santana: Switch-hitting Santana (.320-4-14 last week) travels to Baltimore and faces the completely hittable Andrew Cashner, his 4.80 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola)

Noah Syndergaard: With the warning the game is in peril along with all the east coast contests, the Jays are without the DH, facing a well-rested Thor at a price below the other aces.

John Hicks: Josh Tomlin has allowed 13 homers in 25.2 innings. ‘Nuff said.

Gene McCaffrey (Wise Guy Baseball, @WiseGuyGene)

Eduardo Rodriguez: High K’s and low hard-hirt rate have me leaning to Eduardo Rodriguez as a salary saver.

Mookie Betts: Mookie Betts is very expensive at $5900 but he’s great and he’s on a roll and I doubt the A’s staff will stop him.

Ray Murphy (BaseballHQ, @RayHQ)

Eduardo Rodriguez: Sub-10k, at home, favorable matchup… but watching the weather closely.

Andrew Benintendi: Also watching weather here, but at home vs. Daniel Mengden at a favorable price… and he’s warming up.

Jason Collette (Rotowire, @jasoncollette)

Jack Flaherty: not a bad price – coming off an outing with 25 swings and misses in Triple-A as that slider is looking sharp

Joey Gallo:

Clay Link (Rotowire, @claywlink)

Jack Flaherty: Was thinking about paying up for E-Rod as my SP2, but the weather has scared me off. I’ll pivot and go with Flaherty.

Marcell Ozuna: I am becoming increasingly concerned with Jose Berrios and Ozuna has finally come on at the plate, collecting multiple hits in three of his last four games. At $3,600, he’s cost-effective.

ToutTable: Patience necessary when managing hitters

The Touts are back to address another question, round table style.

As a follow-up to last week’s question on struggling pitchers, how do you handle hitters in a rut?

Perry Van Hook (Mastersball): With reasonable options, I would sit a struggling hitter (well not Bryce Harper even 0 for his last 19) I would reserve them until they were @COL or had come out of the cold zone

Derek VanRiper (Rotowire, @DerekVanRiper): At this point in the season, I’ll look back at the batted-ball profile and plate discipline numbers to see how things may be different compared to that player’s typical levels. With the new data available through Statcast, I’ll start digging into a hitter’s recent exit velocities to see if there is any hint of a possible injury. If health doesn’t appear to be an issue, I will look at the upcoming matchups and account for platoon matchups, park factors and such to see if there’s a favorable run of opposing pitchers coming up. If things are generally positive, I’ll probably continue to roll with the struggling hitter. If the matchups are tough (or if it’s a week with fewer games for the struggling player), I might tap into my depth for a lineup period or two until their are signs of a turnaround.

Anthony Perri (Fantistics, @Anthony_Perri): I start by sending these hitters a personal threatening tweet. If they don’t respond, I check out their advanced matrix. Pretty much everything Derek said: Contact rates, Hard Hit rates, BABIP, and compare them to their history to see if it’s more of a bad luck situation or a unfavorable trend.

Scott Swanay (FantasyBaseballSherpa, @fantasy_sherpa): As with everything, it depends what options I have on my bench. Since the advent of the 10-day DL last season I’ve tended to stack my bench with pitchers, especially Middle Relievers, figuring that losing 1/9th of my pitching production for the rest of the week is a bigger deal than losing 1/14th of my hitting production for the rest of the week. Plus w/ 2 pitching ratio categories vs 1 hitting ratio categories, standings should be more volatile for pitching than for hitting (i.e. – more opportunity to gain/lose ground). So, if I have any Bench spots left for hitters, I’m more likely to have Bench hitters who are either OFs (so that they can potentially be plugged into 6 lineup spots) or INFs w/ multi-position eligibility. Given this philosophy/strategy, I’m almost forced to leave struggling hitters in my lineup, and I’m fine with that, since I have no idea when a hitter is going to stop (or start) struggling.

Ray Flowers (Fantasy Guru Elite, @BaseballGuys): Hitters are more easily broken down than pitchers where there is way more that needs to be broken down than just the man throwing pitches. When a batter is struggling, I keep an eye on his strike zone control. Some players go 1-for-20 with 11 strikeouts. Other might go 1-for-20 but only strike out three times while also taking six walks. It’s also important to look at measures like hard-hit ball rates, hit distribution (LF/CF/RF), upcoming ballparks and the matches with the men on the bump. Ultimately, it’s about the approach the player is taking as you can have a good approach and not get the results you are looking for if you’re paying attention to a smallish sample size. Also have to look at those matchups. If a player is struggling right now, and he struggles against lefties, he’s gonna be on the bench if he’s set to face three in his next six games.

Doug Dennis (BaseballHQ, @dougdennis41): Counting stats mostly depend on playing time, so that is king.  I am not really in leagues with a ton of options just hanging around as free agents, so usually I am forced to ride with who I got. That is certainly true in Tout-AL. In my one large no-trade NFBC team, I have toggled a couple of players based on venue, but I don’t know that it makes THAT much difference over the season.

Mike Podhorzer (Fangraphs, @MikePodhorzer): I’m even less inclined to drastically alter my opinion on a hitter than a pitcher, because hitters change much less quickly and frequently than pitchers do. Like for pitchers, I generally ignore actual results, and focus on the underlying skill metrics — batted ball profile, plate discipline rates, Statcast figures (barrels, average fly ball distance), etc. I also use my own developed expected metrics, such as xBABIP and xHR/FB to identify hitters on the verge of improving or declining. I exercise even more excruciating patience than with pitchers, but will make decisions based on dramatic changes in the underlying skills that suggest a true change in plate approach or talent level.

Andrea LaMont (LennyMelnickFantasySports, @RotoLady): Simple. I bench them and they immediately start hitting.

Stephania Bell (ESPN Fantasy Sports, @Stephania_ESPN): Ha! Andrea beat me to the punch. This also happens to me. I’m willing to bench a hitter – even a big name – if he’s in a slump and there is an option out there who has favorable upcoming matchups that week. The trick is remembering to swap out the platoon player who was worth a one-week start for the more consistent hitter when he’s found his groove again (which, as Andrea mentioned, is usually shortly after benching said player).

Andy Behrens (Yahoo! Fantasy Sports, @andybehrens): This year, most of my leagues are too deep to ever consider benching a player who’s receiving consistent playing time. In N.L. Tout, for example, my bench is three minor leaguers and Kelby Tomlinson. Even if I wanted to sit a struggling star, I don’t have the luxury. In mixed leagues, this question really comes down to the player in question. Also, as Ray says, you want to understand the quality of a player’s at-bats, not just the results. We need to look for deviations from prior seasons as well as contact rates and quality of contact. The most important variable, of course, is the hitter’s upcoming matchups.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt): As noted by others, in an only-league, the options are pretty skimpy. We’re pretty much stuck waiting for the rebound while watching for trade or FA opportunities. Like DVR and Podz and others, the underlying metrics play a role, but they have to pretty dire to opt out on an established player in favour of some of the guys in the free agent pool, who are usually floating face-down.

Scott Wilderman (OnRoto): Primarily for the playing time/counting stats reasons noted above, I do not give up on a hitter unless I read/hear that his manager has or is about to give up on him. Usually even a secondary hitter is not on my team unless he has the potential to contribute SBs or HRs, and as long has he’d getting the plate appearances I am expecting, I’ll just wait out a slump.

Howard Bender (Fantasy Alarm, @RotobuzzGuy): I look at hitters much differently than pitchers when it comes to slumps. In leagues with daily roster management, I’ll simply look at the individual match-ups and sit a slumping player in favor of someone else if the match-up is equal or better. If it’s a league with weekly roster moves, then it’s simply a matter of looking at match-ups and splits. If I have someone (or can acquire someone from waivers) with a better set of match-ups then I’ll make the swap for the week, but if the match-ups are equal, I’ll stick with the better player and let him work through it for the week.

Steve Gardner (USAToday Fantasy Sports, @SteveAGardner): Unless there’s an injury or an indication he’s going to get a day or two off, I try not to worry about my best hitters when they’re slumping. They’re going to snap out of it and I don’t want to have them on the bench when they do. If they’re marginal players, it’s much easier to swap them out for someone who’s doing better.

Clay Link (Rotowire, @claywlink): I try to exercise excruciating patience with most of my hitters. So long as they are playing, the plate skills are holding up and even some of the expected stats like xwOBA, xSLG and xBA check out, I will keep them active. If it’s a 12-team mixed league and I have capable replacements for fringe, late-round types (like Kipnis, Zimmerman, etc.), I won’t be so hesitant to make a change.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola): I wish I had something ground-breaking to add, but I really don’t. Streaks, hot and cold, are often real, but they can be started or ended at any time. There’s no evidence a hot hitter stays hot or cold hitter continues to struggle. As such, it’s all about matchups for me. The only exception – OK, two exceptions, are if a batter is fanning at an excessive rate during the cold spell or if there’s hint of an injury (again, more Lord Obvious than earth-shattering).

Tout Wars FAAB Report: Week of May 14

Welcome to the weekly Tout Wars FAAB report, on its new home right here on the Tout Wars site. Each week, we’ll review the free agent acquisitions from all five leagues, with commentary from a league member, as well as yours truly. We changed the timing of the weekly run to 1 PM ET every Sunday, with the report posted later that afternoon so you’ll have time to digest and apply to your own leagues. In addition, I’ll be joining Lawr Michaels and Justin Mason on the Tout Wars Hour on the FNTSY Network every Sunday at 3:20 PM ET to discuss the results.

You can find the complete list of Tout Warriors here. Everyone starts with 1000 FAAB units, less any penalty incurred by finishing below a designated point in the standings. This is a means of keeping everyone motivated to keep playing all season long. The minimum bid is $0. FAAB units can be traded as well as rebated for players released off the DL.

The report will list all winning bids along with unsuccessful tries and contingencies. This provides the maximum level of information to help gauge interest on the players.

The American and National League only formats are 12-team leagues, as is the new points-based head to head league, The Mixed Auction and Draft each have 15 clubs. All the leagues have four reserves with an unlimited DL, expect the head to head league, which allows six reserves.

The headings above each league are links to publicly accessible sites where you can see standings, roster and a complete review of transactions. The initial auctions and drafts can be found here.

AMERICAN LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
CStewart, Det Chris Liss 44 Patrick Davitt 4
JJimenez, Det Chris Liss 43 Vlad Sedler 4 Larry Schechter 3
ESkoglund, KC Vlad Sedler 23
MMahtook, Det Jason Collette 21 Lawr Michaels 17
GUrshela, Tor Patrick Davitt 9 Jason Collette 21
RRivera, LAA Vlad Sedler 8
JRickard, Bal Lawr Michaels 7
YMendez, Tex Lawr Michaels 4
JBeeks, Bos Patrick Davitt 4
JKelly, Bos Larry Schechter 3 Doug Dennis 0
CBedrosian, LAA Larry Schechter 3 Vlad Sedler 4
JMcCarthy, TB Jason Collette 1
SBieber, Cle Jeff Erickson 1
MPineda, Min Doug Dennis 0
THildenberger, Min Doug Dennis 0 Vlad Sedler 4 Larry Schechter 1

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
MCastro, Bal Vlad Sedler 16
GGreiner, Det Jason Collette 6
ABanda, TB Vlad Sedler 3
DHess, Bal Lawr Michaels 3
CarSmith, Bos Larry Schechter 3
RBleier, Bal Lawr Michaels 2
TKemp, Hou Lawr Michaels 1
RDull, Oak Larry Schechter 1
GPetit, Min Patrick Davitt 0
JRondon, CWS Patrick Davitt 0
RUrena, Tor Patrick Davitt 0
JAlvarez, LAA Doug Dennis 0

Patrick Davitt’s Commentary

Much action in Tout-AL this week was on Irish relief pitchers. Larry Schechter got two bad bulletins this week, losing Irish closers Darren O’Day and Roberto O’suna. Schechter paid 3 units (1,000-unit base) for Cam Bedrosian, whose stock has risen slightly in LAA after meltdowns by Jim Johnson and Justin Anderson. Unfortunately, Bedrosian lost ground in the LAA saves race when previous closer Keynan Middleton returned from the DL. Schechter also landed Irish reliever Joe Kelly of the Red Sox, viewed as the next-in-line should ill health befall Craig Kimbrel.

Kelly also drew a zero bid from Doug Dennis, who disposed of yet another Irish reliever, Dan O’tero, and replaced him with MIN reliever Trevor Hildenberger. Interestingly, the zero bid was the lowest of four Hildenberger bids, but did the job because Hildenberger was a low choice by Schechter and Sedler. Hildenberger is presently no higher than fourth on the Twins’ saves list, but Hildenberger was a hot choice before drafts, and given the Twins’ parlous late-game pitching performances, when three fantasy players of this caliber are interested in a possible replacement, maybe you should be, too. Dennis also made a successful zero bid on DLed MIN SP Michael Pineda, so watch that situation as well for an opportunity.

The highest bid on a reliever was on Joe Jimenez, widely rumored to be next to close the rare win in DET once the Tigers give up on incumbent Shane Greene or trade him. Chris Liss’ pre-emptive bid of 43 (out of 1,000), easily outgunned bids of 4 (Vlad Sedler) and 3 (Schechter). Curiously, because Jimenez was those other bidders’ second or lower choice, Liss could have had Jimenez for zero. Liss reserved BOS SP Hector Velasquez.

Liss also went heavy on a potential callup, bidding 44 to land DET OF Christin Stewart, who is flat-out raking in Toledo. Liss reserved OF Niko Goodrum, who is going on the road in a Velvet Underground cover band. There are different reports about Stewart’s likely promotion, ranging form “not until September” in the Detroit News, to “any day now” in lots of other places. Liss outbid my nutless-monkey bid of 4.

I did get a minor-leaguer, paying 4 for pitcher Jalen Beeks of the Red Sox to replace reserved TOR OF Dalton Pompey is my swingman role. Beeks has been great in AAA Pawtucket (1.72/0.96 in six starts, with 52/8 K/bb). And it strikes me that the Red Sox might need starting pitcher help sooner than later, considering the lack of excellence in that department once you get past Sale and Porcello.

The other minor-leaguer grabbed was Joe McCarthy of the Rays, going, no surprise here, to Jason Collette for the minimum 1 unit (the zero bids can only be made on AL players on 25-man rosters). McCarthy has an .834 OPS in Triple-A. Jason has connections to TAM so might be in the know here. Me, I think Joe McCarthy should have to go play for the Reds. Collette also made a major bid this week, splashing 21 units on DET OF Mikie Mahtook to replace waived CHW OF Trayce Thompson.

Finally, Sedler DLed OAK SP Trevor Cahill and released OAK C Bruce Maxwell III, whom he grabbed last week. His pickups were Eric Skoglund of KC for 23 and Rene Rivera of LAA for 8

Todd’s Take

Ladies and gentlemen, we have an actual trade to report!

Vlad Sedler traded Jed Lowrie, Oak to Jason Collette
Jason Collette traded Jake Junis, KC to Vlad Sedler
Jason Collette trades 60 FAAB dollars to Vlad Sedler

Keep in mind Tout uses 1000 FAAB units so 60 is the equivalent of 6 in 100 unit leagues. I like the deal – need for need with a little FAAB to account for Lowrie out-producing Junis to date. Lowrie could always hit – not to this extent, but he can hit when healthy. Injuries have cut seasons short, but so far with his return to Oakland, he’s remained on the field, and productive.

Junis is intriguing. He’s a fly ball pitcher so he’ll serve up homers, but his control is generally good so they’ll be mainly solo shots. A lot of hurlers have had successful careers with this model. The finishing touch would be more strikeouts, something he’s teased, but needs to make happen to take the next step – that being mixed league relevance.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
JOsuna, Pit Scott Wilderman 54 Mike Gianella 14
MarkReynolds, Was Mike Gianella 24 Scott Wilderman 25 Phil Hertz 22
Craig Mish 12
TomHunter, Phi Mike Gianella 23 Grey Albright 21
SDominguez, Phi Mike Gianella 18 Grey Albright 3
TMcFarland, Ari Todd Zola 7
FPeralta, Mil Brian Walton 6
EDeLosSantos, Phi Grey Albright 4
VCaratini, ChC Phil Hertz 3 Scott Wilderman 1 Andy Behrens 1
Derek Carty 0
CStammen, SD Steve Gardner 2 Todd Zola 7
YHirano, Ari Grey Albright 1 Todd Zola 7 Brian Walton 1
DBote, ChC Mike Gianella 0 Derek Carty 0
AEllis, SD Andy Behrens 0
FPena, StL Derek Carty 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
JLyles, SD Todd Zola 7 Brian Walton 5
DWinkler, Atl Todd Zola 7
PSewald, NYM Todd Zola 7
RRodriguez, Pit Steve Gardner 1 Brian Walton 1
PAlonso, NYM Grey Albright 1
PBaez, LAD Grey Albright 1
TWatson, SF Grey Albright 1
DHernandez, Cin Brian Walton 1
TWilliams, Mil Brian Walton 1
DCastro, Col Mike Gianella 0 Derek Carty 0
NCuevas, Col Mike Gianella 0 Derek Carty 0
JBrebbia, StL Steve Gardner 0
MFeliz, Pit Steve Gardner 0
JValentin, Phi Mike Gianella 0
LGuillorme, NYM Mike Gianella 0
MSzczur, SD Mike Gianella 0
RHerrera, Cin Mike Gianella 0
TLocastro, LAD Mike Gianella 0
TSaladino, Mil Mike Gianella 0
YRivera, Mia Mike Gianella 0
BHoladay, Mia Andy Behrens 0

Brian Walton’s Commentary

It was a relatively quiet week of bidding in National League Tout Wars, with only four players fetching double-digit prices (on the base of $1000 FAAB).

Leading the way is Pittsburgh outfielder Jose Osuna, who went to Scott Wilderman of onRoto for $54. The only other offer was a contingency eliminated by a higher bid. Osuna, 25, is back from Triple-A after receiving over 200 at-bats for the 2017 Bucs. He doesn’t run, but has a little pop in his bat. However, a career .272 OBP makes him a potential liability in Tout.

Next up is an old friend, Mark Reynolds. Not to be confused with Matt, who remains in Triple-A for the Nats, the former Rockies slugger was brought up to Washington to help cover for the loss of injured Ryan Zimmerman. Matt Adams should get most of the work at first, but Reynolds could start against lefties. The power may still be there, but unlike Osuna, Reynolds logged a .352 OBP last season with the Rockies despite all the strikeouts that go along with him. Baseball Prospectus’ Mike Gianella, who also owns Zimmerman, made the acquisition for $24, just topping a $22 offer.

Gianella is among those of us watching the Hector Neris implosion in Philly and wondering if Tommy Hunter will get a shot at the ninth inning. In fact, I grabbed Hunter in the reserve rounds on draft day for that very reason, but gave up his roster spot for another. Mike paid $23.

The most active owner this week is surely Gianella, who also nabbed another Phillies closer contender in Seranthony Dominguez, for $18. The 23-year old was a high strikeout starter in the minors and in his first year relieving. If you have the roster space, why not buy multiple lottery tickets?

There has been much talk (a lot of it by me) about the timing change in the Tout transactions each week, which enable us to bring you this report on Sundays this year. One benefit of it is to gamble on a first-time Sunday starter, since his stats that day do not count. It worked for me a few weeks ago on Nick Kingham and I am trying again with a maiden Milwaukee starter, 21-year old Freddy Peralta. His initial voyage is at Coors Field, but I hope it is good enough that he is kept around. The bet cost me $6 and a roster spot for this coming week.

Todd’s Take

The Phillies closing situation is intriguing on a few levels. Eight of the nine runs Neris has allowed have come in three outings – opening day and twice the past week. His strikeouts are high, but so are walks, even in the scoreless outings. Gabe Kapler is thought to be a numbers guy, with a few questionable decisions already on his ledger. There are options as Brian outlined ranging from the veteran Hunter to the young upstart Dominguez. I think Neris still has some rope, which is evident as I type this with Hunter coming into the 7th inning with Philadelphia holding a 3-1 lead. I’ll keep updated.

MIXED LEAGUE AUCTION 

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
TJankowski, SD Jeff Zimmerman 154 Scott Engel 78 Derek VanRiper 37
Al Melchior 22 Ray Flowers 14
Tim Heaney 1
ZWheeler, NYM Zach Steinhorn 128 Scott Engel 29 Al Melchior 23
Jeff Zimmerman 1
KFreeland, Col Tim Heaney 66 Zach Steinhorn 92 Ray Flowers 34
Fred Zinkie 25 Scott Engel 11
Jeff Zimmerman 0
NAhmed, Ari Brent Hershey 45
JBarria, LAA Scott Engel 41
DMesoraco, NYM Ray Flowers 39 Derek VanRiper 1
AnSuarez, SF Zach Steinhorn 38 Jeff Zimmerman 4
PAlvarez, Bal Brent Hershey 35
DPalka, CWS Scott Engel 34 Ray Flowers 11
MLeake, Sea Ray Flowers 34 Zach Steinhorn 38 Jeff Zimmerman 2
JReyes, NYM Ray Flowers 26
JPirela, SD Jeff Zimmerman 24 Brent Hershey 39 Al Melchior 0
RTepera, Tor Jeff Zimmerman 24 Ray Flowers 23
HPerez, Mil Tim Heaney 13 Ray Flowers 11 Derek VanRiper 7
LMaile, Tor Derek VanRiper 11 Ray Flowers 27 Al Melchior 0
AFrazier, Pit Ray Flowers 11
TomHunter, Phi Al Melchior 0
JFry, CWS Al Melchior 0
MStassi, Hou Al Melchior 0 Ray Flowers 13 Derek VanRiper 1

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
MKoch, Ari Zach Steinhorn 59 Zach Steinhorn 36
RTepera, Tor Jeff Zimmerman 24 Ray Flowers 23
HPerez, Mil Tim Heaney 13 Ray Flowers 11 Derek VanRiper 7
LMaile, Tor Derek VanRiper 11 Ray Flowers 27 Al Melchior 0
AFrazier, Pit Ray Flowers 11
TomHunter, Phi Al Melchior 0
JFry, CWS Al Melchior 0
MStassi, Hou Al Melchior 0 Ray Flowers 13 Derek VanRiper 1
MKoch, Ari Zach Steinhorn 59 Zach Steinhorn 36
JChacin, Mil Zach Steinhorn 52 Zach Steinhorn 32 Ray Flowers 13
MMaldonado, LAA Ray Flowers 39 Derek VanRiper 1
CUtley, LAD Brent Hershey 35
SRomano, Cin Ray Flowers 34
PSeverino, Was Ray Flowers 27
ACashner, Bal Ray Flowers 13
RLopez, SD Ray Flowers 13
AdGonzalez, NYM Ray Flowers 11
MPrado, Mia Ray Flowers 11
GParra, Col Scott Engel 5
RFlaherty, Atl Tim Heaney 3
VCaratini, ChC Derek VanRiper 1
RGsellman, NYM Tim Heaney 0
SLugo, NYM Tim Heaney 0
DFister, Tex Jeff Zimmerman 0
BFarmer, Det Al Melchior 0
RPressly, Min Al Melchior 0

Al Melchior’s Commentary

Last week’s flurry of bidding on young rotation additions has given way to relatively limited interest in a pair of more established starting pitchers. Only four owners bid on Zack Wheeler, but a highly-motivated Zach Steinhorn won him with a $128 bid. Kyle Freeland drew far more interest, earning bids from seven owners, with Tim Heaney emerging as the winner with a $66 bid. Steinhorn actually outbid Heaney by $36, but it was a contingent bid that was rendered moot by his winning bid for Wheeler. Steinhorn is already leading the league in ERA and is fourth in WHIP, but he ranks seventh in wins and 14th in strikeouts. With the long-term absence of Johnny Cueto and the shorter-term one of Carlos Martinez, the addition of Wheeler could help to minimize slippage in those categories.

Few hitters drew much interest at all this week, and the only one to elicit a bid over $50 was Travis Jankowski. Six owners made a bid on the speedy Padres outfielder, and Jeff Zimmermann nearly doubled up Scott Engel’s bid of $78, winning the rights to Jankowski with a $154 bid. Zimmermann is currently tied for fifth in stolen bases, but he is only three spots behind second-place Ray Flowers and 11 steals off Engel’s lead.

The search for future saves lacked urgency this week. Zimmermann won Ryan Tepera for $24, and I speculated on Tommy Hunter and Jace Fry, winning both for $0.

Todd’s Take

My good friend Lawr Michaels coined it #fanticide. The original definition was turning on a ballgame only to see your player spit the bit, but he’ll allow me a little poetic license. In early April, I picked up Freeland for a two-step in NL Tout. The first game was on the road in San Diego, followed by a home affair with the Braves. After enduring 11.1 innings with seven runs and 16 base runners, I put him on my bench. On April 23, I cut Freeland, avoiding a couple more rough outings. Since, the lefty has spun a 1.65 ERA and .91 WHIP while my staff languishes near the bottom in the ratio categories.

No one has defeated Coors for an extended period of time and in mixed leagues, I don’t like keeping a pitcher to use exclusively for road games, but with a visit to AT&T on the docket, Freeland is a good pickup for the week. That said, his teammate Tyler Anderson adds a trip to Petco Park along with a stop in AL&T, doubling the road pleasure. FWIW, Anderson was already on the roster of guest commentator Al Melchior.

MIXED LEAGUE DRAFT

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
TClippard, Tor Michael Beller 153 Scott White 68 Anthony Perri 34
Adam Ronis 24 Charlie Wiegert 17
Rudy Gamble 17 Charlie Wiegert 6
ZEflin, Phi Greg Ambrosius 39 Anthony Perri 35
AdGonzalez, NYM Anthony Perri 32
TJankowski, SD Adam Ronis 23
TAnderson, Col Perry Van Hook 23 Charlie Wiegert 12 Scott White 8
SRomano, Cin Charlie Wiegert 17 Gene McCaffrey 8
SOh, Tor Anthony Perri 13
WLeBlanc, Sea Charlie Wiegert 12 Perry Van Hook 3
ABradley, Ari Adam Ronis 12 Michael Beller 3 Scott White 0
NWalker, NYY Rudy Gamble 9 Adam Ronis 6
JJay, KC Charlie Wiegert 7
LMaile, Tor Perry Van Hook 7 Scott White 0
KFreeland, Col Jeff Boggis 6
WDifo, Was Rudy Gamble 4
VGuerreroJr, Tor Scott White 3
MStassi, Hou Scott White 0
JBarria, LAA Scott White 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
JHellickson, Was Greg Ambrosius 33 Perry Van Hook 3
HPerez, Mil Rudy Gamble 8 Adam Ronis 8
YSanchez, CWS Adam Ronis 8
CKuhl, Pit Charlie Wiegert 6
JWendle, TB Rudy Gamble 4
DPalka, CWS Adam Ronis 4
RTepera, Tor Adam Ronis 4
DDietrich, Mia Charlie Wiegert 2
JIglesias, Det Rudy Gamble 1
JMercer, Pit Rudy Gamble 1
LGohara, Atl Scott White 0
MMaldonado, LAA Scott White 0

Perry Van Hook’s Commentary

The golden ring of saves – even if temporary, again generated the high bid for the week with Michael Beller winning Tyler Clippard for $153.

With an extra reserve spot available next week I added Rockie starter Tyler Anderson for what looks to be a good two start week. My other bid doesn’t mean I believe that Luke Maile will displace Russell Martin as the Blue Jays catcher, but his OBP is well over one hundred points higher (usually Martin’s strong suit) and he does have some pop in his bat. He may well get additional starts behind the dish if Toronto continues to rest Donaldson at DH as well.

Todd’s Take

OK, updating the Phillies bullpen usage, Hunter surrendered a run before being rescued by Luis Garcia. Dominguez worked a clean eighth with two punch outs.

Clippard has the only Blue Jays save chance since Roberto Osuna was put on administrative leave. Based on that, and his current numbers along with a history of getting saves when called upon, I agree with the groups decision to go after Clippard. This looks like a long-term thing.

Oh great, Edubray Ramos in for the save. Good times.

HEAD-TO-HEAD MIXED AUCTION

SUCCESSFUL BIDS

PLAYER WINNING BID
GTorres, NYY Andrea LaMont 103 Justin Mason 67 Michael Rathburn 18
DFowler, Oak Justin Mason 87 Michael Rathburn 3
BAnderson, Mia Justin Mason 67 Dr. Roto 16 Peter Kreutzer 8
SRomano, Cin Andrea LaMont 49 Peter Kreutzer 3 Justin Mason 1
TAnderson, Col Clay Link 45 Andrea LaMont 34 Jake Ciely 22
Dr. Roto 22 Michael Rathburn 12
Justin Mason 1
AHeaney, LAA Justin Mason 25 Jake Ciely 17 Clay Link 12
Andrea LaMont 6
RStripling, LAD Peter Kreutzer 13
LBrinson, Mia Dr. Roto 13
TClippard, Tor Dr. Roto 12
IHapp, ChC Peter Kreutzer 8 Andrea LaMont 2 Justin Mason 1
MMoreland, Bos Michael Rathburn 8
JGarcia, Tor Michael Rathburn 8 Justin Mason 0
LDuda, KC Andrea LaMont 7 Justin Mason 1
MFiers, Det Peter Kreutzer 7
MRojas, Mia Peter Kreutzer 5 Michael Rathburn 3
MHarvey, Cin Andrea LaMont 3
WLeBlanc, Sea Justin Mason 0 Peter Kreutzer 6 Michael Rathburn 6
JJeffress, Mil Justin Mason 0

UNAWARDED BIDS

PLAYER
RErlin, SD Peter Kreutzer 13
CMoran, Pit Michael Rathburn 6 Andrea LaMont 0
ARussell, ChC Peter Kreutzer 5
JMercer, Pit Peter Kreutzer 5
JWinker, Cin Michael Rathburn 4
RYarbrough, TB Michael Rathburn 3
SMatz, NYM Clay Link 3
JProfar, Tex Peter Kreutzer 2
TJankowski, SD Peter Kreutzer 2
OArcia, Mil Justin Mason 1 Justin Mason 0
ZEflin, Phi Andrea LaMont 1
DDescalso, Ari Peter Kreutzer 0
ZBritton, Bal Justin Mason 0
ACobb, Bal Clay Link 0
MBoyd, Det Andrea LaMont 0

Todd’s Take and Commentary

And Ramos gets the save. I’ll be curious what Kapler has to say, but first I need to get this posted.

Justin Mason was busy, looking to upgrade hitting while his pitching-heavy squad gets healthy. I especially like the acquisition of Dustin Fowler, capable of contributing to a points league in many ways, including drawing a walk, stealing a base or poking one over the wall. Assuming he can stay healthy, the A’s merry-go-round in center should be over.

I also like Mason’s pick-up of Andrew Heaney as the young lefty has a home two-step, the first with the dangerous Astros but then he faces the Rays.

It’s nice to see Rotowire colleague Clay Link agrees Tyler Anderson is a nice play this week.

OK, I need to check Twitter to see who I’m bidding on in the NFBC tonight. Saves – the bane of fantasy managers everywhere.

Tout Daily Wrap: Link Jumps to the Top

Rotowire’s Clay Link became the first Tout to win two Tout Daily contests after also taking down opening week. Link  took over the top spot halfway through Period 2 while also narrowing the gap for the top overall score. BaseballHQ’s Ray Murphy finished second by a baker’s dozen with Fantasy Alarm’s Howard Bender less than a point behind in third.

Link was led by a pair of outstanding pitching performances. Aaron Nola was a popular choice, with 16 of the 35 Touts clicking in his 38.75 points. Luis Castillo’s 24.25 points was a difference make as only five others joined Clay hoping Castillo’s recent upswing would result in a solid outing.

Clay’s offense was powered by Giancarlo Stanton’s pair of long balls as well as Justin Bour, Jurickson Profar and Aaron Altherr also going deep. Check out Link’s entire lineup below.

As mentioned, Link is a top the pack for the Golden Tickets awarded to the top three scorers in Period 2, leading Wiseguy Gene McCaffrey and some dude named Zola.

Zola continues to lead the race for the wild card entry into the Tout Daily Final, given to the most overall points over the 20-week contest. Link is in second with Fantasy Alarm’s Rick Wolf next. Follow your favorite Touts on the Leaderboard.

Join us next Tuesday for the third week of this period. As always, we’ll post our picks around 5 PM ET.

Here’s Clay’s week-winning roster:

 

Tout Daily Picks: Nola, Conforto and Profar, oh my

Today is the second week of the second Tout Daily period. The pitching is replete with intriguing options at all price points with hitting also offering solid choices up and down the schedule.

Here’s who the Touts are clicking in, trying to chase down Period 2 leader Vlad Sedler.

Lawr Michaels (CreativeSports2, @lawrmichaels)

Andrew Heaney: The Coloradans hold the second-highest strikeout total facing lefties at 129, while Heaney, with 24 whiffs over 20.3 frames, has had games with nine and 10 whiffs and today could rank right there with Rockies misses.

Robinson Cano: Cano, who is hitting a more than respectable .283-3-18, gets to swing against righty Marcus Stroman (7.52 ERA, 1.639 WHIP) at home. Since lefties are batting .303 against the Toronto hurler with a .374 OBP, Cano looks like a no-brainer pick.

Jeff Boggis (Fantasy Football Empire, @JeffBoggis)

Luis Severino: Severino’s only loss on the season was at Boston on April 10th. In that game, Severino had a season low 6.7 Draft Kings fantasy points. On the season, Severino is averaging 26.9 fantasy points per game on Draft Kings. Throw out the Boston game and he’s averaging 30.3 fantasy points per game. He faces Boston again tonight, but this time at home, where Severino will be looking for redemption.

Didi Gregorius: Gregorius has a larger sample size when facing Pomeranz and he’s owned him in the past. He’s had 21 at bats when facing Pomeranz, and owns a .381 batting average with 1 home run, 2 RBI, and 2 walks against him. Gregorius has been cold as of late, which explains his depressed $4,500 salary. He is averaging 11.2 fantasy points per game on Draft Kings.

Howard Bender (Fantasy Alarm, @RotobuzzGuy)

Aaron Nola: Money in the bank, in my opinion and he’s still not priced as high as the elites. The Giants were a hot-hitting team this past week, but let’s not kid ourselves as to what they are really made of. Are we that desperate for a hero in SF that Allen Hanson is getting so much buzz? Nola should have no issues putting the Giants down tonight.

Corey Dickerson: Ever see Lucas Giolito try to successfully pitch against a lefty hitter? Me neither. The damage will have to be done early though because an early exit for Giolito puts Dickerson up against a very tough White Sox bullpen. Still willing to make the move for Dickerson though.

Patrick Davitt (BaseballHQ, @patrickdavitt)

James Paxton: Going pitcher-heavy today, including James Paxton against a TOR lineup that is a little above-average at striking out vs LHP.

Jurickson Profar: Jurickson Profar has been productive lately and is very reasonably priced at $3300. Also a switch-hitter, which is helpful.

Tim McCullough (Rotoexperts, @Tim_Rotoexperts)

Dylan Bundy: The Royals are one of the weakest teams in MLB vs. RHP with a .294 wOBA and Bundy has done his best work at home, where he has a .314 wOBA against. Bundy had the Royals’ number last season with a 1.29 ERA, .643 WHIP and a .143 BAA over two starts. Hopefully, the money saved on pitching will give me enough offense to finish in the money.

Jurickson Profar: I wanted Trout, Hoskins and Conforto in my outfield so I needed salary relief somewhere (besides at P). That led to my choice of Profar. Granted, Profar has been awful across the board but he faces Mike Fiers tonight, a pitcher who has been equally awful (5.00 ERA, 5.33 K/9). He’s allowed above average Hard contact (34.4% Hard%) resulting in six HRs in just 27 IP, so I’m rolling the dice on Profar having a good night at home where he’s been slightly less awful historically.

Todd Zola (Mastersball, @toddzola)

Sean Newcomb: Fun slate for pitching, great choiced up top and in the middle. I’m waffling up top (leaning Nola) but am probably settled on Sean Newcomb as SP2. Tampa has decent wOBA v LHP, but anything vLHP is the most unreliable sample. I’ll take the strikeout upside in a pitcher’s park and hope Newcomb keeps C.J. Cron in check.

John Hicks: Hicks qualifies at catcher but is getting run at first base with Miggy on the DL. He checks all the boxes (high in the order, platoon edge, hitter’s park).

Clay Link (Rotowire, @claywlink)

Aaron Nola: He’s not missing bats like an ace (6.9 K/9), but he’s not being priced up quite as high either. The Giants have totaled four home runs so far in May and with Derek Holland on the other side, Nola stands a great chance to earn the win.

Aaron Altherr: Speaking of Holland…Altherr is off to a poor start this season and he’s not the bargain on DK that he is on Fanduel, but he has the platoon advantage and is batting cleanup.

Brian Walton (CreativeSports2, @B_Walton)

Mike Minor: For $6300, Minor is a great $-saving pick. The right-hander has a 2.86 ERA in four home starts this year and gets to face the tooth-less Tigers tonight.

Michael Conforto: It is only one game in a row (so is that even a row?), but Conforto homered Monday night and his Tuesday opponent is not the same Luis Castillo of 2017.

Jeff Erickson (Rotowire, @Jeff_Erickson)

Aaron Nola: The Giants surprisingly have struck out frequently this year, including nine times yesterday against Zack Efflin.

Michael Conforto: I like the intersection between his price, skills, batting order and ballpark.